Winston-Salem, NC, North Carolina: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 689,7662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,4142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 154,402 | 212,636 | 372,600 | ||
| R | 151,431 | 204,027 | 360,721 | ||
| R | 125,668 | 176,890 | 315,098 | ||
| R | 128,657 | 171,653 | 304,106 | ||
| R | 131,098 | 159,971 | 293,972 | ||
| R | 93,982 | 155,140 | 250,028 | ||
| D | 135,734 | 80,464 | 217,851 | ||
| R | 71,357 | 110,008 | 194,493 | ||
| R | 79,519 | 99,742 | 208,020 | ||
| R | 64,621 | 110,629 | 175,738 | ||
| R | 59,219 | 116,371 | 175,905 | ||
| R | 66,352 | 86,290 | 157,762 | ||
| R | 72,199 | 74,416 | 147,304 | ||
| R | 35,043 | 90,845 | 128,514 | ||
| R | 33,194 | 62,833 | 131,574 | ||
| R | 56,972 | 62,552 | 119,524 | ||
| R | 46,896 | 69,099 | 115,995 | ||
| R | 34,225 | 59,955 | 94,180 | ||
| R | 45,162 | 54,077 | 99,239 | ||
| D | 28,623 | 28,287 | 60,823 | ||
| D | 34,691 | 30,471 | 65,162 | ||
| D | 42,578 | 23,424 | 66,002 | ||
| D | 39,647 | 22,873 | 62,520 | ||
| D | 32,199 | 20,250 | 53,070 | ||
| R | 15,675 | 32,814 | 48,489 | ||
| R | 19,396 | 19,585 | 39,564 | ||
| R | 17,893 | 21,570 | 39,463 | ||
| R | 10,148 | 11,204 | 21,629 | ||
| D | 8,206 | 6,249 | 18,388 | ||
| R | 7,036 | 9,756 | 16,996 | ||
| R | 6,852 | 8,246 | 15,258 | ||
| R | 7,529 | 9,699 | 17,350 | ||
| R | 8,284 | 11,284 | 19,679 | ||
| R | 7,796 | 8,170 | 17,665 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Winston-Salem's metro has trended toward competitive margins as college-educated suburban voters shifted in recent cycles, while the city proper—nearly 40% Black—anchors strong Democratic turnout that rural Forsyth precincts partially offset.
The Democratic margin in Winston-Salem, NC has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-three points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by sixteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $66,414 — all within the broad national range.
Winston-Salem, NC, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/49180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.