York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+25%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 462,9242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,8292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 91,926 | 154,884 | 250,136 | ||
| R | 88,114 | 146,733 | 238,471 | ||
| R | 68,524 | 128,528 | 208,029 | ||
| R | 73,191 | 113,304 | 190,005 | ||
| R | 82,839 | 109,268 | 194,210 | ||
| R | 63,701 | 114,270 | 179,269 | ||
| R | 51,958 | 87,652 | 144,286 | ||
| R | 49,596 | 65,188 | 128,156 | ||
| R | 46,113 | 60,130 | 134,245 | ||
| R | 37,691 | 72,408 | 111,116 | ||
| R | 33,359 | 75,020 | 109,247 | ||
| R | 33,406 | 61,098 | 101,891 | ||
| R | 41,281 | 56,912 | 99,944 | ||
| R | 27,520 | 63,606 | 93,280 | ||
| R | 33,328 | 51,631 | 93,371 | ||
| D | 58,787 | 33,677 | 92,872 | ||
| R | 39,164 | 55,922 | 95,479 | ||
| R | 38,743 | 48,176 | 87,068 | ||
| R | 39,508 | 44,489 | 84,351 | ||
| D | 33,321 | 32,494 | 68,678 | ||
| D | 38,226 | 32,617 | 71,158 | ||
| D | 39,543 | 30,228 | 69,936 | ||
| D | 45,142 | 29,233 | 75,837 | ||
| D | 29,313 | 25,430 | 57,365 | ||
| R | 11,216 | 45,791 | 57,529 | ||
| R | 15,600 | 23,044 | 41,039 | ||
| R | 14,396 | 19,879 | 35,679 | ||
| D | 16,314 | 12,276 | 30,598 | ||
| D | 14,979 | 5,251 | 30,195 | ||
| D | 15,171 | 14,610 | 30,771 | ||
| R | 12,996 | 14,837 | 28,614 | ||
| D | 13,732 | 12,327 | 26,631 | ||
| D | 13,054 | 12,258 | 26,060 | ||
| D | 12,822 | 9,052 | 22,300 | ||
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Demographics
York-Hanover sits along the Susquehanna Valley corridor, where a durable blue-collar industrial base and steady in-migration from the Baltimore region have produced competitive margins in statewide races over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in York-Hanover, PA peaked at thirty-two points in 1912. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $84,829 sits well below state and national norms, and 8% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/49620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.