akashic
1876–2024
York-Hanover, PA·Pennsylvania

York-Hanover, PA peaked at D+32; 2024 delivered R+25.

A mid-sized mid-Atlantic metro where manufacturing heritage shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+25
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
462,924
2024 ACS

York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+25%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+25MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
462,9242024 5-year
Median household income
$84,8292024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.2%2024 5-year
Black
6.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+32 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−25.2%
91,926154,884250,136
R
−24.6%
88,114146,733238,471
R
−28.8%
68,524128,528208,029
R
−21.1%
73,191113,304190,005
R
−13.6%
82,839109,268194,210
R
−28.2%
63,701114,270179,269
R
−24.7%
51,95887,652144,286
R
−12.2%
49,59665,188128,156
R
−10.4%
46,11360,130134,245
R
−31.2%
37,69172,408111,116
R
−38.1%
33,35975,020109,247
R
−27.2%
33,40661,098101,891
R
−15.6%
41,28156,91299,944
R
−38.7%
27,52063,60693,280
R
−19.6%
33,32851,63193,371
D
+27.0%
58,78733,67792,872
R
−17.6%
39,16455,92295,479
R
−10.8%
38,74348,17687,068
R
−5.9%
39,50844,48984,351
D
+1.2%
33,32132,49468,678
D
+7.9%
38,22632,61771,158
D
+13.3%
39,54330,22869,936
D
+21.0%
45,14229,23375,837
D
+6.8%
29,31325,43057,365
R
−60.1%
11,21645,79157,529
R
−18.1%
15,60023,04441,039
R
−15.4%
14,39619,87935,679
D
+13.2%
16,31412,27630,598
D
+32.2%
14,9795,25130,195
D
+1.8%
15,17114,61030,771
R
−6.4%
12,99614,83728,614
D
+5.3%
13,73212,32726,631
D
+3.1%
13,05412,25826,060
D
+16.9%
12,8229,05222,300
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
31.6%
Irish
12.0%
English
9.9%
Italian
6.2%
American
6.2%
Polish
2.8%
Scottish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.7%
speak English only
Spanish5.4%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
9.4%
Mainline Protestant
8.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.2%
Methodist
4.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Baptist
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

York-Hanover sits along the Susquehanna Valley corridor, where a durable blue-collar industrial base and steady in-migration from the Baltimore region have produced competitive margins in statewide races over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in York-Hanover, PA peaked at thirty-two points in 1912. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $84,829 sits well below state and national norms, and 8% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/49620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 25.2 points (R+25), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 250,136 votes cast, 91,926 went Democratic and 154,884 went Republican.
What is York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania?
York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 462,924 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania is $84,829 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in York-Hanover, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.