Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+13%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 427,4202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,7042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Youngstown-Warren, OH, OHOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 90,394 | 117,232 | 210,329 | ||
| R | 102,160 | 115,097 | 219,967 | ||
| R | 100,395 | 102,640 | 215,336 | ||
| D | 138,731 | 80,920 | 225,524 | ||
| D | 143,318 | 85,483 | 234,930 | ||
| D | 149,867 | 89,738 | 241,049 | ||
| D | 126,855 | 75,114 | 210,358 | ||
| D | 128,320 | 56,208 | 212,923 | ||
| D | 119,322 | 57,022 | 233,256 | ||
| D | 134,198 | 82,537 | 218,376 | ||
| D | 133,416 | 99,047 | 234,697 | ||
| D | 108,043 | 91,209 | 218,163 | ||
| D | 129,665 | 82,783 | 217,838 | ||
| R | 97,706 | 111,824 | 214,354 | ||
| D | 108,798 | 76,024 | 206,338 | ||
| D | 145,276 | 60,834 | 206,110 | ||
| D | 129,071 | 92,651 | 221,722 | ||
| R | 92,039 | 107,928 | 199,967 | ||
| D | 106,784 | 90,957 | 197,741 | ||
| D | 99,565 | 62,662 | 164,538 | ||
| D | 104,414 | 60,334 | 164,748 | ||
| D | 111,056 | 62,522 | 173,578 | ||
| D | 97,270 | 41,712 | 141,187 | ||
| R | 51,010 | 62,742 | 118,774 | ||
| R | 36,038 | 78,051 | 114,942 | ||
| R | 13,342 | 59,988 | 85,313 | ||
| R | 21,756 | 47,079 | 71,829 | ||
| D | 19,104 | 17,423 | 38,305 | ||
| O | 10,185 | 8,472 | 32,078 | ||
| R | 13,788 | 17,738 | 33,054 | ||
| R | 6,546 | 17,787 | 28,149 | ||
| R | 11,088 | 16,662 | 28,439 | ||
| R | 10,601 | 16,396 | 27,310 | ||
| R | 9,575 | 11,625 | 22,538 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.4%
Italian
13.7%
Irish
12.7%
American
11.0%
English
9.1%
Polish
3.5%
Scottish
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$56,704
Youngstown-Warren, OH ranks near the middle of US counties.
Youngstown-Warren, OH$56,704
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.8%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1827.2%
Working age (18–64)15.8%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.5%
Spanish2.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Youngstown-Warren anchors the Mahoning Valley, a region that spent decades as a Democratic stronghold on the strength of steel-industry labor but has shifted markedly toward Republican margins in federal races since 2016.
The Democratic margin in Youngstown-Warren, OH peaked at forty-one points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $56,704 sits well below state and national norms, and 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/49660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 12.8 points (R+13), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 210,329 votes cast, 90,394 went Democratic and 117,232 went Republican.
What is Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 14 times, and other 1 times.
When did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio has a population of 427,420 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio is $56,704 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.