akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 9·Arizona

Arizona 9th Congressional District has voted Republican in nineteen straight presidential cycles.

18762024·38 elections
AZ
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
1,947,764
2024 ACS

Arizona 9th Congressional District, Arizona: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1984.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
1,947,7642024 5-year
Median household income
$84,0202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
59.5%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+41 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+44 in 1984MIT Election Lab
7 counties · 1 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.7%
384,992478,661875,525
R
−4.5%
410,261449,619876,118
R
−8.5%
279,378335,757662,679
R
−14.5%
242,477326,866581,516
R
−13.3%
245,143321,640574,026
R
−16.2%
207,865289,321501,745
R
−11.1%
161,080203,217379,447
R
−2.7%
152,613162,005346,777
R
−7.4%
120,571147,775367,540
R
−29.9%
97,659182,332283,521
R
−43.7%
66,617171,865240,839
R
−40.4%
50,141131,842202,114
R
−24.4%
61,509103,334171,281
R
−41.7%
38,60897,881142,017
R
−25.7%
35,58364,025110,796
R
−6.2%
49,51156,064105,642
R
−16.3%
35,54549,43585,044
R
−22.8%
23,17736,88460,138
R
−19.6%
21,20831,52352,732
D
+8.5%
18,18315,28434,271
D
+15.1%
14,50810,69325,286
D
+23.9%
16,55910,13326,852
D
+41.3%
14,9005,93321,713
D
+34.7%
13,5676,46920,440
R
−23.4%
5,8499,43515,308
R
−8.3%
4,1545,14411,900
R
−13.5%
4,4425,82310,265
D
+19.4%
4,6743,0318,486
O
+33.3%
1,4543413,346
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.6%
English
10.0%
Irish
8.8%
American
4.2%
Italian
4.2%
Polish
1.9%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.0%
speak English only
Spanish20.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.7%
Other Christian
14.2%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Baptist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona 9th Congressional District sits in the desert Southwest. Its political identity has been Republican for as long as anyone now living can remember. 5 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Republican candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.

The Republican margin in Arizona 9th Congressional District reached its widest at forty-four points in 1984. The margin in 2024 was eleven points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $84,020, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 1,947,764 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 9, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/0409/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 9, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 9, Arizona voted Republican by 10.7 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 875,525 votes cast, 384,992 went Democratic and 478,661 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 9, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 9, Arizona as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 9, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 9, Arizona voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Congressional District 9, Arizona?
Congressional District 9, Arizona has a population of 1,947,764 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 9, Arizona?
Median household income in Congressional District 9, Arizona is $84,020 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Congressional District 9, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 9, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.