akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Arkansas

Arkansas 3rd Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 25 points.

18762024·38 elections
AR
Latest
R+25
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
744,829
2024 ACS

Arkansas 3rd Congressional District, Arkansas: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+25%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+25MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
744,8292024 5-year
Median household income
$77,1402024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.4%2024 5-year
Black
2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
17.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+45 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1972MIT Election Lab
12 counties · 0 D · 12 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−24.8%
107,257180,551295,896
R
−23.3%
105,310171,876285,700
R
−29.7%
78,169148,223235,563
R
−31.9%
69,403137,368213,075
R
−28.3%
72,109131,012207,818
R
−25.8%
71,586122,126196,016
R
−22.8%
59,97396,905162,043
R
−4.7%
59,87466,555140,934
R
−2.5%
60,58564,163145,253
R
−37.0%
36,08679,264116,735
R
−45.2%
31,30583,954116,592
R
−28.8%
36,95069,655113,450
D
+1.6%
49,02247,47596,725
R
−51.5%
19,46361,18681,020
R
−21.2%
18,46133,62671,524
D
+3.7%
30,25728,09558,515
R
−25.5%
19,67933,39953,759
R
−17.8%
19,65428,24848,171
R
−23.4%
19,24231,03650,391
D
+11.3%
15,62212,25429,832
D
+5.9%
14,50812,89727,465
D
+21.9%
13,8458,84022,883
D
+32.2%
13,8107,06820,956
D
+45.0%
19,6227,30127,409
R
−10.9%
11,65414,53426,359
D
+15.2%
10,6837,57920,380
D
+7.5%
12,45410,67923,675
D
+27.6%
12,8497,29820,147
D
+35.6%
8,4913,07115,211
D
+16.9%
12,0338,39221,532
D
+10.1%
7,8006,29314,981
D
+28.3%
11,0236,09617,406
D
+39.1%
13,6785,93319,797
D
+18.4%
10,8307,25419,487
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.0%
German
11.2%
Irish
9.2%
American
5.7%
Italian
2.0%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.7%
speak English only
Spanish11.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.7%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
18.9%
Other Christian
14.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.8%
Methodist
3.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arkansas 3rd Congressional District sits in the Mid-South. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the district voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Arkansas 3rd Congressional District as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Arkansas 3rd Congressional District, by a twenty-nine points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-one points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-five points.

The political shift has tracked, in Arkansas 3rd Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 64% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $77,140, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/0503/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Arkansas voted Republican by 24.8 points (R+25), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 295,896 votes cast, 107,257 went Democratic and 180,551 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Arkansas as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 3, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Arkansas?
Congressional District 3, Arkansas has a population of 744,829 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Arkansas?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Arkansas is $77,140 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.