akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 5·California

California 5th Congressional District delivered R+14 in 2024.

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
872,024
2024 ACS

California 5th Congressional District, California: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
872,0242024 5-year
Median household income
$78,8982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
47.5%2024 5-year
Black
3.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
44.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 1924MIT Election Lab
15 counties · 3 D · 12 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.5%
141,177186,724336,942
R
−4.2%
168,330183,625360,497
R
−6.0%
125,496143,120292,063
R
−6.7%
121,565139,548268,992
R
−4.8%
132,037145,646284,601
R
−20.4%
102,468155,795261,491
R
−14.6%
93,036126,530229,822
R
−5.7%
90,046102,226212,907
D
+0.4%
87,25986,464223,990
R
−7.5%
83,31597,087183,057
R
−17.4%
71,484102,084175,641
R
−15.3%
56,57979,683150,908
D
+3.2%
64,70260,613128,860
R
−7.9%
55,83265,788126,073
D
+1.1%
50,09448,922108,614
D
+30.1%
68,72536,888105,737
D
+6.7%
53,76346,998101,298
D
+6.2%
48,27342,61691,143
R
−5.7%
39,66044,54584,967
D
+12.0%
35,79627,83466,397
D
+19.6%
31,31120,99052,749
D
+29.4%
38,84021,03760,591
D
+48.6%
35,08711,91747,637
D
+39.3%
27,06511,34740,030
R
−12.7%
13,67117,69131,769
R
−31.8%
3,66712,69728,426
R
−26.0%
7,72913,89323,700
D
+13.1%
14,39910,78227,704
D
+50.7%
11,091021,865
R
−8.7%
5,8877,16714,641
R
−16.8%
5,2717,69514,435
D
+0.4%
7,3147,26114,945
D
+13.0%
7,8045,97514,037
D
+13.9%
5,9894,24112,618
D
+5.3%
6,3725,71212,394
D
+2.4%
5,4635,19710,905
D
+6.4%
5,3164,67310,035
D
+9.7%
4,7903,9458,734

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.1%
English
7.8%
Irish
7.5%
Italian
3.5%
American
1.9%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
64.2%
speak English only
Spanish28.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.5%
Other Indo-European3.2%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Religious adherence data not available for this county.

California 5th Congressional District in the Pacific Coast has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries California 5th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in California 5th Congressional District has rarely exceeded fifty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by fourteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a 16% poverty rate, and a median household income of $78,898 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 5, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/0605/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 5, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 5, California voted Republican by 13.5 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 336,942 votes cast, 141,177 went Democratic and 186,724 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 5, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 5, California as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 5, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 5, California voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Congressional District 5, California?
Congressional District 5, California has a population of 872,024 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 5, California?
Median household income in Congressional District 5, California is $78,898 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 5, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 5, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.