Florida 2nd Congressional District, Florida: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+80 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 794,2292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,2262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 166,494 | 242,954 | 413,465 | ||
| R | 180,865 | 227,686 | 413,045 | ||
| R | 160,158 | 206,685 | 379,825 | ||
| R | 165,419 | 195,684 | 365,098 | ||
| R | 169,400 | 195,446 | 368,150 | ||
| R | 158,563 | 178,224 | 339,186 | ||
| R | 124,415 | 131,039 | 261,712 | ||
| D | 109,970 | 100,089 | 236,724 | ||
| D | 96,440 | 90,779 | 233,992 | ||
| R | 73,993 | 114,908 | 190,837 | ||
| R | 67,858 | 114,634 | 182,540 | ||
| D | 82,794 | 79,114 | 168,932 | ||
| D | 86,470 | 62,763 | 151,668 | ||
| R | 32,263 | 92,921 | 125,367 | ||
| O | 27,564 | 21,846 | 118,662 | ||
| R | 41,914 | 62,387 | 104,302 | ||
| D | 47,925 | 28,108 | 76,032 | ||
| D | 41,582 | 23,052 | 64,635 | ||
| D | 43,860 | 22,532 | 66,392 | ||
| D | 25,824 | 5,241 | 41,352 | ||
| D | 33,893 | 6,229 | 40,122 | ||
| D | 38,809 | 5,792 | 44,600 | ||
| D | 30,953 | 3,763 | 34,715 | ||
| D | 27,666 | 3,026 | 30,692 | ||
| D | 13,129 | 9,968 | 23,407 | ||
| D | 8,749 | 1,858 | 11,429 | ||
| D | 13,421 | 3,546 | 18,157 | ||
| D | 9,644 | 2,395 | 13,468 | ||
| D | 5,945 | 765 | 8,423 | ||
| D | 5,981 | 2,284 | 9,563 | ||
| D | 5,278 | 1,676 | 7,564 | ||
| D | 1,643 | 305 | 2,025 | ||
| D | 3,207 | 489 | 3,779 | ||
| R | 1,378 | 1,525 | 2,903 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| R | 6,773 | 7,513 | 14,286 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Demographics
Florida 2nd Congressional District sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the district voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Florida 2nd Congressional District as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.
The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Florida 2nd Congressional District, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was eighteen points.
The political shift has tracked, in Florida 2nd Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $65,226, and a 17% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Congressional District 2, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/1202/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.