akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Florida

Florida 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 18 points.

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+18
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
794,229
2024 ACS

Florida 2nd Congressional District, Florida: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+80 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+18MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
794,2292024 5-year
Median household income
$65,2262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
65.1%2024 5-year
Black
22.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+80 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
22 counties · 2 D · 20 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.5%
166,494242,954413,465
R
−11.3%
180,865227,686413,045
R
−12.2%
160,158206,685379,825
R
−8.3%
165,419195,684365,098
R
−7.1%
169,400195,446368,150
R
−5.8%
158,563178,224339,186
R
−2.5%
124,415131,039261,712
D
+4.2%
109,970100,089236,724
D
+2.4%
96,44090,779233,992
R
−21.4%
73,993114,908190,837
R
−25.6%
67,858114,634182,540
D
+2.2%
82,79479,114168,932
D
+15.6%
86,47062,763151,668
R
−48.4%
32,26392,921125,367
O
+4.8%
27,56421,846118,662
R
−19.6%
41,91462,387104,302
D
+26.1%
47,92528,10876,032
D
+28.7%
41,58223,05264,635
D
+32.1%
43,86022,53266,392
D
+49.8%
25,8245,24141,352
D
+68.9%
33,8936,22940,122
D
+74.0%
38,8095,79244,600
D
+78.3%
30,9533,76334,715
D
+80.3%
27,6663,02630,692
D
+13.5%
13,1299,96823,407
D
+60.3%
8,7491,85811,429
D
+54.4%
13,4213,54618,157
D
+53.8%
9,6442,39513,468
D
+61.5%
5,9457658,423
D
+38.7%
5,9812,2849,563
D
+47.6%
5,2781,6767,564
D
+66.1%
1,6433052,025
D
+71.9%
3,2074893,779
R
−5.1%
1,3781,5252,903
No data
000
R
−5.2%
6,7737,51314,286
No data
000
No data
000

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.5%
Irish
9.0%
German
8.4%
American
6.9%
Italian
3.4%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.8%
speak English only
Spanish5.3%
Other Indo-European2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
14.5%
Other Christian
13.6%
Methodist
6.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida 2nd Congressional District sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the district voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Florida 2nd Congressional District as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.

The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Florida 2nd Congressional District, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was eighteen points.

The political shift has tracked, in Florida 2nd Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $65,226, and a 17% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/1202/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Florida voted Republican by 18.5 points (R+18), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 413,465 votes cast, 166,494 went Democratic and 242,954 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Florida as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 2, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Florida voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Florida?
Congressional District 2, Florida has a population of 794,229 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Florida is $65,226 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.