Maryland 3rd Congressional District, Maryland: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+27%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+27MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 663,9722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $137,3262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 217,666 | 122,336 | 354,017 | ||
| D | 222,755 | 120,548 | 353,553 | ||
| D | 171,897 | 116,636 | 304,776 | ||
| D | 159,896 | 129,075 | 296,673 | ||
| D | 154,792 | 127,978 | 288,257 | ||
| R | 128,168 | 134,228 | 265,948 | ||
| R | 107,075 | 107,944 | 223,184 | ||
| R | 86,714 | 87,175 | 189,806 | ||
| R | 81,923 | 83,645 | 201,536 | ||
| R | 64,017 | 98,351 | 163,336 | ||
| R | 51,301 | 87,193 | 139,279 | ||
| R | 48,101 | 62,268 | 123,184 | ||
| R | 49,748 | 54,595 | 104,342 | ||
| R | 24,658 | 58,159 | 84,007 | ||
| R | 19,404 | 30,101 | 60,751 | ||
| D | 28,751 | 21,525 | 50,275 | ||
| R | 19,522 | 24,052 | 43,577 | ||
| R | 12,287 | 22,540 | 34,827 | ||
| R | 11,832 | 18,703 | 30,798 | ||
| R | 7,661 | 9,582 | 17,748 | ||
| R | 8,909 | 9,847 | 18,757 | ||
| D | 11,335 | 8,657 | 20,071 | ||
| D | 10,694 | 7,748 | 18,572 | ||
| D | 9,855 | 5,519 | 15,647 | ||
| R | 6,699 | 9,393 | 16,172 | ||
| D | 5,183 | 4,401 | 10,437 | ||
| R | 5,431 | 6,382 | 11,944 | ||
| D | 4,433 | 3,095 | 7,763 | ||
| D | 7,129 | 2,401 | 7,085 | ||
| — | 7,003 | 3,896 | 112 | ||
| — | 8,447 | 3,058 | 135 | ||
| — | 4,000 | 4,293 | 10 | ||
| R | 3,786 | 4,461 | 8,461 | ||
| D | 4,040 | 3,182 | 7,386 | ||
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Demographics
Maryland 3rd Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Maryland 3rd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in Maryland 3rd Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by twenty-seven points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a 5% poverty rate, and a median household income of $137,326 — all within the broad national range.
Congressional District 3, Maryland — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/2403/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.