Congressional District 1 Congressional District (MN) — Elections 1876–2024

Minnesota 1st Congressional District, Minnesota: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 708,7242024 5-year
Median household income: $80,7602024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 83.9%2024 5-year
Black: 3.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+22 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64 in 1920MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

30 counties · 2 D · 28 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−11.2%	168,023	211,354	387,929
2020	R	−8.5%	172,584	205,668	387,557
2016	R	−13.2%	137,887	184,796	355,017
2012	D	+2.2%	177,696	169,739	356,930
2008	D	+5.0%	184,391	166,573	359,712
2004	R	−2.4%	170,099	178,444	353,842
2000	R	−3.2%	140,350	150,402	309,439
1996	D	+9.8%	137,236	108,885	288,659
1992	D	+3.0%	119,451	110,027	314,317
1988	R	−3.4%	133,944	143,486	280,186
1984	R	−12.6%	126,076	162,832	290,979
1980	R	−10.3%	117,158	147,422	293,205
1976	R	−2.2%	136,986	143,262	287,342
1972	R	−21.5%	100,804	157,418	263,088
1968	R	−5.8%	110,992	125,286	246,181
1964	D	+16.4%	140,308	100,737	241,496
1960	R	−17.0%	102,909	145,074	248,380
1956	R	−26.6%	79,295	137,070	216,890
1952	R	−35.4%	72,403	152,267	225,484
1948	D	+6.8%	105,318	91,791	199,470
1944	R	−16.5%	77,331	107,990	186,079
1940	R	−16.7%	88,440	123,964	213,274
1936	D	+21.8%	112,846	70,697	193,647
1932	D	+19.8%	101,017	67,133	171,401
1928	R	−26.6%	61,695	106,793	169,439
1924	R	−46.2%	11,385	81,286	151,372
1920	R	−64.0%	22,468	111,750	139,405
1916	R	−16.7%	28,262	40,295	71,909
1912	O	+13.1%	23,690	14,475	70,567
1908	R	−27.4%	24,000	43,726	71,930
1904	R	−50.2%	14,969	48,442	66,692
1900	R	−30.7%	24,860	48,439	76,701
1896	R	−29.3%	28,755	53,642	84,974
1892	D	+14.0%	34,891	25,323	68,301
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

35.1%

Irish

9.2%

English

6.3%

American

4.2%

Polish

2.8%

French

1.8%

Italian

1.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 39.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.0%

85+

1.7%

2.4%

75–84

2.9%

5.3%

65–74

5.4%

6.3%

55–64

6.4%

5.6%

45–54

5.3%

6.5%

35–44

6.1%

25–34

5.9%

5.2%

18–24

5.2%

8.7%

5–17

8.3%

2.9%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$80,760

Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 1$80,760

Minnesota$89,062

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.0%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 189.9%

Working age (18–64)9.8%

Seniors (65+)10.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

90.0%

speak English only

Spanish4.7%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%

Other languages1.8%

Other Indo-European1.4%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Mainline Protestant

28.7%

Catholic & Orthodox

19.6%

Other Christian

5.3%

Methodist

2.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.7%

Non-Christian

0.8%

Baptist

0.3%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Minnesota 1st Congressional District in the Upper Midwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Minnesota 1st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Minnesota 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by eleven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 84% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $80,760 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 1, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/2701/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 1, Minnesota voted Republican by 11.2 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 387,929 votes cast, 168,023 went Democratic and 211,354 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 1, Minnesota's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 24 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 1, Minnesota last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Congressional District 1, Minnesota?

Congressional District 1, Minnesota has a population of 708,724 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Minnesota?

Median household income in Congressional District 1, Minnesota is $80,760 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Minnesota 1st Congressional District delivered R+11 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions