Minnesota 3rd Congressional District, Minnesota: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+41%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,040,2712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,7632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 3, MNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 408,351 | 165,248 | 590,159 | ||
| D | 432,459 | 172,064 | 618,779 | ||
| D | 348,131 | 159,882 | 556,274 | ||
| D | 344,856 | 198,438 | 556,395 | ||
| D | 342,323 | 191,088 | 543,088 | ||
| D | 312,206 | 210,341 | 529,083 | ||
| D | 250,465 | 185,162 | 468,632 | ||
| D | 232,218 | 141,831 | 427,514 | ||
| D | 226,379 | 146,207 | 477,683 | ||
| D | 238,005 | 195,134 | 437,557 | ||
| D | 221,078 | 206,057 | 429,500 | ||
| D | 194,545 | 157,966 | 409,754 | ||
| D | 208,934 | 171,145 | 391,504 | ||
| R | 166,409 | 184,883 | 358,177 | ||
| D | 177,882 | 136,872 | 328,505 | ||
| D | 194,673 | 124,457 | 319,911 | ||
| R | 151,725 | 159,843 | 312,323 | ||
| R | 120,041 | 146,931 | 267,392 | ||
| R | 124,695 | 144,467 | 270,296 | ||
| D | 121,809 | 96,984 | 226,117 | ||
| D | 119,145 | 93,490 | 214,035 | ||
| D | 116,258 | 98,447 | 216,490 | ||
| D | 115,483 | 64,998 | 196,491 | ||
| D | 95,469 | 72,893 | 174,158 | ||
| R | 64,714 | 100,415 | 166,830 | ||
| R | 8,658 | 80,932 | 137,135 | ||
| R | 23,137 | 72,496 | 112,221 | ||
| D | 29,132 | 22,404 | 54,902 | ||
| O | 12,438 | 11,517 | 38,863 | ||
| R | 12,949 | 22,292 | 37,927 | ||
| R | 4,576 | 25,203 | 34,175 | ||
| R | 11,611 | 21,581 | 34,549 | ||
| R | 16,431 | 21,491 | 38,713 | ||
| D | 16,516 | 13,180 | 33,068 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.5%
Irish
10.6%
English
7.9%
Polish
3.7%
French
2.7%
Italian
2.4%
American
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$97,763
Congressional District 3 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 3$97,763
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.9%
Working age (18–64)9.5%
Seniors (65+)10.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.9%
speak English only
Spanish5.6%
Other languages4.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%
Other Indo-European3.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Minnesota 3rd Congressional District in the Upper Midwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Minnesota 3rd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in Minnesota 3rd Congressional District has rarely exceeded forty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by forty-one points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $97,763 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/2703/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 3, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Minnesota voted Democratic by 41.2 points (D+41), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 590,159 votes cast, 408,351 went Democratic and 165,248 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 3, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Minnesota voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Minnesota?
Congressional District 3, Minnesota has a population of 1,040,271 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Minnesota?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Minnesota is $97,763 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.