Congressional District 2 Congressional District (MO) — Elections 1876–2024

Missouri 2nd Congressional District, Missouri: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+6%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 921,4002024 5-year
Median household income: $85,4782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 69.8%2024 5-year
Black: 17.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+22 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+41 in 1920MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

10 counties · 2 D · 8 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+5.6%	246,783	220,025	475,415
2020	D	+7.4%	259,716	223,103	491,632
2016	D	+1.0%	222,686	218,157	468,344
2012	D	+3.2%	235,485	220,593	464,154
2008	D	+11.5%	269,002	213,138	486,833
2004	D	+2.4%	234,840	223,758	461,032
2000	D	+0.7%	198,548	195,901	404,151
1996	D	+4.3%	174,856	158,706	371,453
1992	D	+7.5%	179,115	147,474	421,294
1988	R	−11.7%	162,175	205,162	368,405
1984	R	−30.3%	125,992	235,299	361,292
1980	R	−15.8%	141,867	198,857	361,242
1976	R	−10.4%	146,241	180,776	333,180
1972	R	−25.7%	114,266	193,248	307,514
1968	R	−5.0%	117,123	131,035	277,543
1964	D	+22.3%	155,537	98,846	254,383
1960	D	+1.4%	121,205	117,894	239,099
1956	R	−8.0%	89,285	104,708	193,992
1952	R	−11.3%	72,297	90,722	163,188
1948	R	−4.9%	50,588	55,822	107,176
1944	R	−9.9%	44,982	54,866	100,140
1940	R	−14.8%	43,098	58,160	101,622
1936	D	+10.9%	50,778	40,487	94,422
1932	D	+22.5%	49,609	30,959	82,908
1928	R	−13.6%	29,508	38,807	68,549
1924	R	−25.8%	14,946	26,937	46,489
1920	R	−40.9%	12,043	29,745	43,289
1916	R	−27.4%	8,371	14,901	23,844
1912	R	−7.3%	6,674	8,042	18,807
1908	R	−33.3%	6,409	13,122	20,173
1904	R	−34.8%	5,109	10,798	16,356
1900	R	−22.8%	6,433	10,309	16,991
1896	R	−22.0%	6,518	10,219	16,826
1892	R	−12.9%	5,939	7,749	14,004
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

25.6%

Irish

13.1%

English

10.0%

American

5.8%

Italian

4.6%

French

2.6%

Polish

2.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.5%

2.4%

75–84

3.2%

5.0%

65–74

5.9%

6.5%

55–64

7.0%

5.8%

45–54

6.1%

6.4%

35–44

6.6%

6.2%

25–34

6.3%

4.1%

18–24

4.1%

8.5%

5–17

8.1%

2.9%

2.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$85,478

Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 2$85,478

Missouri$70,702

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

8.8%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1811.4%

Working age (18–64)8.0%

Seniors (65+)8.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

91.5%

speak English only

Other Indo-European3.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%

Spanish2.3%

Other languages0.8%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

25.3%

Other Christian

9.4%

Baptist

5.3%

Mainline Protestant

4.2%

Methodist

2.5%

Non-Christian

1.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Missouri 2nd Congressional District in the Border South has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Missouri 2nd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Missouri 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by six points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,478 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 2, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/2902/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 2, Missouri voted Democratic by 5.6 points (D+6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 475,415 votes cast, 246,783 went Democratic and 220,025 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 2, Missouri's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Missouri as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 2, Missouri last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Missouri voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Congressional District 2, Missouri?

Congressional District 2, Missouri has a population of 921,400 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Missouri?

Median household income in Congressional District 2, Missouri is $85,478 — above the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Missouri 2nd Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions