Congressional District 4 Congressional District (MO) — Elections 1876–2024

Missouri 4th Congressional District, Missouri: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+31%. Republican peak: R+31 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+31MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population: 921,5982024 5-year
Median household income: $66,9982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 81.1%2024 5-year
Black: 7.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+28 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+31 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

36 counties · 2 D · 34 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−30.5%	147,592	280,230	434,813
2020	R	−27.5%	152,157	271,283	432,737
2016	R	−29.4%	128,984	246,091	398,535
2012	R	−18.2%	154,942	225,774	389,657
2008	R	−8.5%	185,765	220,840	412,640
2004	R	−16.0%	159,320	220,401	382,216
2000	R	−8.5%	145,554	173,397	327,665
1996	D	+3.3%	133,344	123,592	292,754
1992	D	+7.9%	131,792	106,627	316,894
1988	R	−6.0%	128,233	144,605	273,680
1984	R	−21.5%	109,089	168,954	278,043
1980	R	−6.4%	119,773	136,813	268,328
1976	D	+6.2%	130,957	115,456	248,953
1972	R	−31.0%	80,380	152,713	233,093
1968	R	−7.6%	92,186	109,204	225,376
1964	D	+22.2%	139,023	88,507	227,531
1960	R	−10.5%	112,022	138,279	250,301
1956	R	−7.0%	112,606	129,483	242,089
1952	R	−12.8%	110,008	142,363	252,848
1948	D	+9.4%	119,226	98,753	218,530
1944	R	−6.7%	103,331	118,228	221,916
1940	R	−1.8%	127,330	131,908	259,782
1936	D	+17.1%	156,416	110,578	268,061
1932	D	+27.8%	150,433	84,622	236,735
1928	R	−19.4%	90,324	133,818	224,687
1924	R	−1.3%	92,779	95,271	196,595
1920	R	−5.9%	98,140	110,524	211,367
1916	D	+8.9%	66,828	55,614	125,313
1912	D	+23.7%	57,956	30,557	115,664
1908	D	+5.1%	60,678	54,676	118,289
1904	R	−1.3%	53,021	54,449	111,794
1900	D	+9.8%	63,342	51,708	118,630
1896	D	+17.7%	73,484	51,169	125,770
1892	D	+9.5%	50,829	40,806	105,381
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

19.6%

English

13.3%

Irish

11.0%

American

7.4%

Italian

2.4%

Scottish

1.7%

French

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.2%

2.4%

75–84

2.9%

5.0%

65–74

5.5%

6.4%

55–64

6.5%

5.4%

45–54

5.5%

6.1%

35–44

6.1%

6.5%

25–34

6.4%

5.7%

18–24

5.1%

8.5%

5–17

8.0%

3.0%

2.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$66,998

Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 4$66,998

Missouri$70,702

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

14.0%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1817.2%

Working age (18–64)13.1%

Seniors (65+)12.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

93.2%

speak English only

Spanish3.4%

Other Indo-European2.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%

Other languages0.4%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Baptist

15.4%

Other Christian

10.9%

Catholic & Orthodox

5.1%

Mainline Protestant

4.4%

Methodist

3.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.6%

Non-Christian

0.9%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Missouri 4th Congressional District sits in the Border South. Its political identity has been Republican for as long as anyone now living can remember. 2 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Republican candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.

The Republican margin in Missouri 4th Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-one points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was thirty-one points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $66,998, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 921,598 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 4, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/2904/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 4, Missouri voted Republican by 30.5 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 434,813 votes cast, 147,592 went Democratic and 280,230 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 4, Missouri's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Missouri as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 4, Missouri last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Congressional District 4, Missouri?

Congressional District 4, Missouri has a population of 921,598 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Missouri?

Median household income in Congressional District 4, Missouri is $66,998 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Missouri 4th Congressional District has voted Republican in seven straight presidential cycles.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions