akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Montana

Montana 1st Congressional District delivered R+12 in 2024.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MT
Latest
R+12
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
565,520
2024 ACS

Montana 1st Congressional District, Montana: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Democratic peak: D+75 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+12MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
565,5202024 5-year
Median household income
$74,0912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+75 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+24 in 2000MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
21 counties · 5 D · 16 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.6%
137,499174,999322,573
R
−7.0%
143,462165,640317,110
R
−11.8%
101,358131,472256,274
R
−7.6%
107,930126,444242,182
D
+2.5%
121,815115,761246,267
R
−15.9%
88,802123,413218,031
R
−23.6%
63,811109,667194,375
R
−0.4%
78,49179,299186,837
D
+6.5%
72,26560,179184,563
R
−1.8%
75,32278,088156,355
R
−17.1%
66,07693,789162,457
R
−20.0%
52,82983,885155,398
R
−5.9%
62,95370,944136,320
R
−13.3%
53,94271,337130,937
R
−1.3%
48,40549,764108,363
D
+24.1%
67,63841,251109,706
D
+2.6%
55,33652,487108,190
R
−13.7%
46,27660,985107,261
R
−13.2%
44,94258,749104,383
D
+10.3%
46,94337,86188,495
D
+10.4%
44,15135,80180,664
D
+20.4%
58,94738,77698,822
D
+43.9%
61,15922,81787,316
D
+24.9%
48,88128,49981,810
R
−11.4%
31,70239,98772,696
O
−14.7%
15,01524,90167,350
R
−22.6%
22,77137,50365,285
D
+20.3%
38,36224,70467,313
O
+17.0%
13,8197,59236,577
D
+2.9%
16,60815,53636,674
R
−11.6%
13,26417,43835,867
D
+32.2%
24,19412,24137,178
D
+75.3%
26,3433,65930,116
R
−1.4%
9,3819,71524,235
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.1%
Irish
14.2%
English
14.1%
American
4.5%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
3.0%
French
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.0%
2.9%
75–84
2.9%
6.2%
65–74
6.3%
6.3%
55–64
6.4%
5.8%
45–54
5.3%
6.7%
35–44
6.3%
6.9%
25–34
6.3%
5.5%
18–24
4.9%
7.6%
5–17
7.1%
2.5%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,091
Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 1$74,091
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.1%
Working age (18–64)11.6%
Seniors (65+)9.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.6%
speak English only
Spanish1.7%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.5%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.3%
Baptist
1.3%
Methodist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Montana 1st Congressional District in the Northern Rockies has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Montana 1st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Montana 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded seventy-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by twelve points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 87% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $74,091 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Montana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Montana voted Republican by 11.6 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 322,573 votes cast, 137,499 went Democratic and 174,999 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Montana as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 19 times, and other 2 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Montana?
Congressional District 1, Montana has a population of 565,520 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Montana?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Montana is $74,091 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.