Nevada 2nd Congressional District, Nevada: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+13%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 767,9362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,7782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1980MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 173,048 | 226,373 | 408,996 | ||
| R | 169,985 | 209,802 | 391,036 | ||
| R | 128,683 | 169,566 | 325,283 | ||
| R | 131,034 | 155,844 | 293,631 | ||
| D | 140,933 | 138,764 | 284,290 | ||
| R | 106,270 | 147,433 | 258,445 | ||
| R | 76,391 | 118,079 | 205,370 | ||
| R | 69,729 | 88,020 | 184,079 | ||
| R | 59,429 | 72,327 | 186,982 | ||
| R | 50,187 | 89,759 | 145,342 | ||
| R | 35,053 | 86,161 | 124,224 | ||
| R | 25,761 | 72,011 | 110,087 | ||
| R | 37,121 | 49,242 | 90,669 | ||
| R | 26,768 | 57,075 | 83,843 | ||
| R | 24,514 | 38,590 | 71,608 | ||
| D | 34,390 | 29,324 | 63,714 | ||
| R | 26,964 | 31,245 | 58,209 | ||
| R | 18,159 | 33,395 | 51,554 | ||
| R | 16,599 | 33,206 | 49,806 | ||
| R | 17,289 | 20,497 | 38,808 | ||
| D | 18,202 | 17,581 | 35,783 | ||
| D | 22,254 | 16,806 | 39,060 | ||
| D | 21,908 | 9,448 | 31,356 | ||
| D | 19,071 | 9,967 | 29,038 | ||
| R | 10,510 | 14,601 | 25,111 | ||
| R | 4,589 | 8,961 | 20,597 | ||
| R | 7,172 | 11,747 | 20,092 | ||
| D | 12,386 | 9,033 | 23,400 | ||
| O | 5,389 | 2,279 | 13,555 | ||
| R | 6,304 | 6,584 | 14,017 | ||
| R | 2,857 | 5,315 | 8,972 | ||
| D | 5,176 | 3,381 | 8,557 | ||
| D | 6,730 | 1,785 | 8,516 | ||
| O | 649 | 2,558 | 9,361 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Demographics
Nevada 2nd Congressional District in the desert Southwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Nevada 2nd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in Nevada 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded fifty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,778 — all within the broad national range.
Congressional District 2, Nevada — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3202/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.