akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Nevada

Nevada 4th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

18762024·38 elections
NV
Latest
Tied
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,537,218
2024 ACS

Nevada 4th Congressional District, Nevada: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
TiedMIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
1,537,2182024 5-year
Median household income
$75,8802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
45.3%2024 5-year
Black
11.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+83 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1980MIT Election Lab
12 counties · 2 D · 10 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−0.4%
335,766338,693686,534
D
+6.0%
336,490297,402647,195
D
+7.3%
258,727221,663510,483
D
+11.8%
253,129198,598460,346
D
+16.6%
249,056177,010432,849
D
+2.7%
184,547174,861365,242
D
+4.1%
129,555118,965259,312
D
+7.6%
85,93672,177181,021
D
+7.8%
82,68566,729205,029
R
−17.0%
52,96875,467132,324
R
−29.0%
36,44767,072105,678
R
−31.0%
26,44154,24189,692
D
+3.1%
36,03733,82072,393
R
−20.8%
25,35238,62863,980
D
+1.6%
23,54122,69854,271
D
+25.0%
29,56117,73947,301
D
+13.9%
18,87514,27233,147
R
−1.2%
15,27315,63830,910
R
−7.2%
10,61312,26222,876
D
+20.8%
9,9306,45116,720
D
+23.9%
8,6465,31513,961
D
+36.5%
7,7463,60411,349
D
+59.9%
8,0952,03010,125
D
+54.6%
7,4812,1989,680
R
−0.5%
3,2093,2416,450
O
−15.2%
1,2112,0815,706
R
−16.1%
2,4453,5106,604
D
+22.5%
4,9702,8949,216
O
+25.4%
2,4628766,244
D
+6.8%
4,9084,19110,509
R
−13.5%
1,1251,5493,143
D
+42.9%
1,1714681,639
D
+83.0%
1,6461531,798
O
−12.4%
652531,517
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.5%
English
7.6%
Irish
7.1%
Italian
4.6%
American
3.0%
Polish
1.6%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
67.6%
speak English only
Spanish21.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander7.0%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.6%
Other Christian
10.7%
Baptist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nevada 4th Congressional District in the desert Southwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Nevada 4th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Nevada 4th Congressional District has rarely exceeded eighty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by zero points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 45% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $75,880 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Nevada — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3204/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Nevada vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Nevada voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 686,534 votes cast, 335,766 went Democratic and 338,693 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Nevada's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Nevada as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 10 times, and other 3 times.
When did Congressional District 4, Nevada last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Nevada voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Nevada?
Congressional District 4, Nevada has a population of 1,537,218 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Nevada?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Nevada is $75,880 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Nevada?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Nevada from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.