New Jersey 3rd Congressional District, New Jersey: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+10%. Republican peak: R+39 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 886,0552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $111,4822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 3, NJOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 239,604 | 193,768 | 441,923 | ||
| D | 278,069 | 200,446 | 482,390 | ||
| D | 220,376 | 174,247 | 413,362 | ||
| D | 223,498 | 165,537 | 394,668 | ||
| D | 235,713 | 173,882 | 414,084 | ||
| D | 202,059 | 184,189 | 389,411 | ||
| D | 186,707 | 138,925 | 338,293 | ||
| D | 165,603 | 113,867 | 317,817 | ||
| D | 143,393 | 131,485 | 339,935 | ||
| R | 126,720 | 173,146 | 302,497 | ||
| R | 117,169 | 180,134 | 298,273 | ||
| R | 104,274 | 138,421 | 270,058 | ||
| R | 128,135 | 129,246 | 262,591 | ||
| R | 93,136 | 149,534 | 246,110 | ||
| R | 96,272 | 99,909 | 220,698 | ||
| D | 132,580 | 70,387 | 203,268 | ||
| D | 95,890 | 94,230 | 190,400 | ||
| R | 59,746 | 95,225 | 155,442 | ||
| R | 65,008 | 80,732 | 146,113 | ||
| R | 54,294 | 58,290 | 114,516 | ||
| D | 58,933 | 54,077 | 113,165 | ||
| D | 62,488 | 56,733 | 119,489 | ||
| D | 61,986 | 47,560 | 110,370 | ||
| R | 42,748 | 54,044 | 99,634 | ||
| R | 32,599 | 66,380 | 99,288 | ||
| R | 19,984 | 48,369 | 73,643 | ||
| R | 19,423 | 42,001 | 62,830 | ||
| R | 15,331 | 19,499 | 35,491 | ||
| D | 12,789 | 7,858 | 31,035 | ||
| R | 13,911 | 20,384 | 35,439 | ||
| R | 12,190 | 19,361 | 33,037 | ||
| R | 12,226 | 18,437 | 31,847 | ||
| R | 10,242 | 19,505 | 31,174 | ||
| D | 14,293 | 14,115 | 29,419 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
16.6%
Italian
16.1%
German
11.7%
English
7.5%
Polish
5.4%
American
3.3%
Scottish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$111,482
Congressional District 3 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 3$111,482
New Jersey$103,556
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 189.1%
Working age (18–64)6.6%
Seniors (65+)8.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
80.4%
speak English only
Spanish8.6%
Other Indo-European6.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.6%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
New Jersey 3rd Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries New Jersey 3rd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in New Jersey 3rd Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by ten points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 64% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $111,482 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3403/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 3, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, New Jersey voted Democratic by 10.4 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 441,923 votes cast, 239,604 went Democratic and 193,768 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, New Jersey's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, New Jersey as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 3, New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, New Jersey voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, New Jersey?
Congressional District 3, New Jersey has a population of 886,055 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, New Jersey?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, New Jersey is $111,482 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.