New York 11th Congressional District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Democratic peak: D+44 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 715,4552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,7582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 11, NYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 119,745 | 147,717 | 272,075 | ||
| D | 149,946 | 140,272 | 292,816 | ||
| D | 127,836 | 113,221 | 248,448 | ||
| D | 128,843 | 84,636 | 215,924 | ||
| D | 129,896 | 98,761 | 230,235 | ||
| D | 111,610 | 104,304 | 217,767 | ||
| D | 115,523 | 71,977 | 193,835 | ||
| D | 100,908 | 59,011 | 173,227 | ||
| D | 91,363 | 81,859 | 196,474 | ||
| R | 78,314 | 92,402 | 171,967 | ||
| R | 75,234 | 102,446 | 178,158 | ||
| R | 61,520 | 81,656 | 154,303 | ||
| D | 83,021 | 72,966 | 156,748 | ||
| R | 61,752 | 116,009 | 178,120 | ||
| D | 75,784 | 75,402 | 163,780 | ||
| D | 107,942 | 61,543 | 169,692 | ||
| D | 92,887 | 77,802 | 171,054 | ||
| R | 66,408 | 102,825 | 169,233 | ||
| R | 83,308 | 93,435 | 178,782 | ||
| D | 79,069 | 67,241 | 164,006 | ||
| D | 95,087 | 75,209 | 171,042 | ||
| D | 100,581 | 71,985 | 173,516 | ||
| D | 108,133 | 40,695 | 152,076 | ||
| D | 79,966 | 37,417 | 124,818 | ||
| D | 62,850 | 45,585 | 111,231 | ||
| R | 29,122 | 37,867 | 79,396 | ||
| R | 19,401 | 42,385 | 67,016 | ||
| D | 19,376 | 17,444 | 38,085 | ||
| D | 17,646 | 7,331 | 36,271 | ||
| R | 15,513 | 16,875 | 34,919 | ||
| D | 16,561 | 16,495 | 34,399 | ||
| D | 15,666 | 15,180 | 31,635 | ||
| R | 10,898 | 15,321 | 27,437 | ||
| D | 14,520 | 10,003 | 25,530 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
17.2%
Irish
7.3%
American
4.4%
German
3.1%
Polish
2.7%
English
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$92,758
Congressional District 11 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 11$92,758
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.1%
Working age (18–64)12.3%
Seniors (65+)16.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
60.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European14.3%
Spanish12.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander8.9%
Other languages3.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
New York 11th Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries New York 11th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in New York 11th Congressional District has rarely exceeded forty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 53% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $92,758 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 11, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3611/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 11, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 11, New York voted Republican by 10.3 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 272,075 votes cast, 119,745 went Democratic and 147,717 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 11, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 11, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 11 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 11, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 11, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 11, New York?
Congressional District 11, New York has a population of 715,455 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 11, New York?
Median household income in Congressional District 11, New York is $92,758 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Congressional District 11, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 11, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.