New York 15th Congressional District, New York: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+45%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 2012.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+45MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 589,8752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,6962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 13.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 15, NYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 109,906 | 41,224 | 152,903 | ||
| D | 149,248 | 28,446 | 178,857 | ||
| D | 148,520 | 15,874 | 167,788 | ||
| D | 142,451 | 12,591 | 155,781 | ||
| D | 142,061 | 17,509 | 160,149 | ||
| D | 119,276 | 23,815 | 144,051 | ||
| D | 111,630 | 15,225 | 129,385 | ||
| D | 104,266 | 12,784 | 121,520 | ||
| D | 94,515 | 26,586 | 128,288 | ||
| D | 91,659 | 31,935 | 125,187 | ||
| D | 93,701 | 45,902 | 140,134 | ||
| D | 76,049 | 36,468 | 118,784 | ||
| D | 100,275 | 40,666 | 141,682 | ||
| D | 102,191 | 82,613 | 185,255 | ||
| D | 116,482 | 59,755 | 186,658 | ||
| D | 169,232 | 57,010 | 226,579 | ||
| D | 163,682 | 76,589 | 241,141 | ||
| D | 144,370 | 108,077 | 252,447 | ||
| D | 164,802 | 101,577 | 272,416 | ||
| D | 141,560 | 72,668 | 261,332 | ||
| D | 189,176 | 88,668 | 279,252 | ||
| D | 175,910 | 83,273 | 262,113 | ||
| D | 176,206 | 39,123 | 222,066 | ||
| D | 118,138 | 32,168 | 167,941 | ||
| D | 97,745 | 41,427 | 144,441 | ||
| R | 30,598 | 33,430 | 91,002 | ||
| R | 19,217 | 44,550 | 78,692 | ||
| D | 20,111 | 17,198 | 40,416 | ||
| D | 21 | 8 | 44 | ||
| O | 20 | 20 | 44 | ||
| D | 24 | 20 | 47 | ||
| D | 23 | 19 | 44 | ||
| R | 17 | 20 | 39 | ||
| D | 22 | 13 | 36 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
3.4%
Italian
2.5%
Irish
1.7%
German
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$48,696
Congressional District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 15$48,696
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
27.8%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1835.9%
Working age (18–64)24.9%
Seniors (65+)28.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
43.0%
speak English only
Spanish45.1%
Other Indo-European5.8%
Other languages4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
New York 15th Congressional District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. Its political identity has been Democratic for as long as anyone now living can remember. 2 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Democratic candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.
The Democratic margin in New York 15th Congressional District reached its widest at eighty-three points in 2012. The margin in 2024 was forty-five points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $48,696, a 13% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 589,875 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 15, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3615/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 15, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 15, New York voted Democratic by 44.9 points (D+45), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 152,903 votes cast, 109,906 went Democratic and 41,224 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 15, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 15, New York as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 30 times, Republican 3 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 15, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 15, New York voted Republican was 1924.
How many people live in Congressional District 15, New York?
Congressional District 15, New York has a population of 589,875 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 15, New York?
Median household income in Congressional District 15, New York is $48,696 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Congressional District 15, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 15, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 3 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.