akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·North Carolina

North Carolina 1st Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NC
Latest
D+2
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
734,100
2024 ACS

North Carolina 1st Congressional District, North Carolina: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
734,1002024 5-year
Median household income
$57,4502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
48.2%2024 5-year
Black
39.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+89 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
29 counties · 13 D · 16 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+2.0%
191,464183,946379,410
D
+6.2%
200,969177,129382,106
D
+9.0%
187,786156,048352,826
D
+13.6%
203,186154,229360,105
D
+13.1%
196,443150,648349,014
D
+1.3%
137,548134,063272,303
R
−4.4%
108,579118,532228,119
D
+10.8%
107,07084,963203,970
D
+12.7%
109,52981,733219,405
D
+0.1%
93,95793,823188,249
R
−6.7%
95,210108,944204,587
D
+13.0%
91,58070,131164,998
D
+24.1%
90,65255,238146,811
R
−34.2%
45,88794,888143,289
O
+15.2%
58,27032,975166,934
D
+33.6%
87,08143,262130,342
D
+55.7%
91,81426,145117,959
D
+57.9%
84,80122,607107,409
D
+61.6%
88,85921,135109,994
D
+79.5%
66,7626,18276,208
D
+81.9%
68,8856,86875,753
D
+87.6%
78,8435,22784,069
D
+88.9%
79,0084,66283,670
D
+87.1%
66,8544,50071,629
D
+45.5%
41,91715,69857,614
D
+66.1%
31,6876,22738,532
D
+59.1%
40,59310,45151,044
D
+60.3%
26,3366,51232,897
D
+70.4%
23,3782,60129,528
D
+41.0%
22,9989,62332,624
D
+59.0%
22,3175,72128,141
D
+22.7%
34,84621,92456,929
R
−2.0%
30,90832,16263,135
D
+9.7%
22,69417,70651,262
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.0%
American
8.2%
Irish
5.4%
German
4.9%
Italian
1.6%
Scottish
1.2%
French
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.4%
2.5%
75–84
3.3%
5.5%
65–74
6.5%
6.4%
55–64
7.1%
5.6%
45–54
6.0%
5.7%
35–44
5.9%
6.1%
25–34
6.1%
5.0%
18–24
5.0%
8.1%
5–17
7.6%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$57,450
Congressional District 1 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 1$57,450
North Carolina$72,388
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1824.4%
Working age (18–64)15.7%
Seniors (65+)15.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.3%
speak English only
Spanish6.1%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
17.2%
Other Christian
12.8%
Methodist
6.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

North Carolina 1st Congressional District in the Carolinas has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries North Carolina 1st Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in North Carolina 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded eighty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by two points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a 18% poverty rate, and a median household income of $57,450 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3701/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, North Carolina voted Democratic by 2.0 points (D+2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 379,410 votes cast, 191,464 went Democratic and 183,946 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, North Carolina as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 4 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 1, North Carolina last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, North Carolina voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, North Carolina?
Congressional District 1, North Carolina has a population of 734,100 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, North Carolina?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, North Carolina is $57,450 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.