akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·Ohio

Ohio 10th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+6
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
744,763
2024 ACS

Ohio 10th Congressional District, Ohio: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+6%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
744,7632024 5-year
Median household income
$70,8042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.2%2024 5-year
Black
16.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+26 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1924MIT Election Lab
7 counties · 1 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−6.0%
168,639190,619365,477
R
−4.1%
176,802192,364375,664
R
−6.8%
157,685182,603363,787
R
−1.5%
178,421183,836370,820
D
+0.4%
188,753187,314382,078
R
−3.6%
183,200196,835381,710
R
−2.6%
147,727155,715312,791
D
+5.2%
148,595132,498309,410
R
−1.0%
135,855139,326339,548
R
−18.5%
120,467175,468298,096
R
−21.4%
117,246181,655300,770
R
−0.9%
131,704134,222287,431
D
+1.4%
134,252130,536271,280
R
−21.1%
100,657156,285263,544
D
+3.4%
118,192109,206261,614
D
+26.3%
157,79792,063249,861
R
−7.4%
118,958138,069257,026
R
−17.9%
91,231131,049222,280
R
−8.5%
94,980112,730207,710
D
+9.7%
90,82174,586166,776
D
+9.8%
96,75679,425176,181
D
+16.7%
102,43573,107175,543
D
+23.1%
92,91956,659156,766
R
−0.3%
62,86763,213131,862
R
−32.8%
44,87989,005134,719
R
−37.8%
26,76065,125101,569
R
−12.7%
46,51860,827112,731
D
+5.3%
29,80626,65659,849
D
+7.5%
19,15715,32551,399
R
−4.0%
25,33227,54555,624
R
−25.5%
17,25429,88749,562
R
−13.2%
20,78127,24749,149
R
−11.7%
20,38525,84246,810
R
−3.0%
18,02619,20038,858
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.9%
English
12.7%
Irish
12.2%
American
5.7%
Italian
3.4%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.2%
speak English only
Spanish2.5%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
22.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.8%
Baptist
8.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Methodist
2.7%
Non-Christian
2.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ohio 10th Congressional District in the Industrial Midwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Ohio 10th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Ohio 10th Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by six points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $70,804 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/3910/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, Ohio voted Republican by 6.0 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 365,477 votes cast, 168,639 went Democratic and 190,619 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Ohio as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 10, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Ohio voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, Ohio?
Congressional District 10, Ohio has a population of 744,763 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Ohio?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, Ohio is $70,804 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.