Congressional District 4 Congressional District (OR) — Elections 1876–2024

Oregon 4th Congressional District, Oregon: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+15%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+15MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 668,8612024 5-year
Median household income: $69,8182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 81.4%2024 5-year
Black: 1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+43 in 1904MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

11 counties · 4 D · 7 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+14.7%	202,443	148,827	364,791
2020	D	+15.4%	216,304	156,955	386,003
2016	D	+10.4%	165,385	130,845	333,349
2012	D	+15.9%	168,821	120,929	301,819
2008	D	+19.8%	186,723	123,419	319,739
2004	D	+9.4%	175,579	144,976	326,158
2000	D	+3.5%	130,815	121,270	273,090
1996	D	+11.0%	120,284	92,651	252,227
1992	D	+15.9%	123,761	80,462	272,198
1988	D	+13.4%	121,977	92,648	219,415
1984	R	−2.8%	112,119	118,486	231,387
1980	R	−5.6%	92,379	105,417	231,191
1976	D	+6.0%	99,004	87,212	196,536
1972	R	−5.0%	79,978	88,910	177,228
1968	R	−6.6%	62,914	72,670	147,301
1964	D	+33.9%	92,124	45,376	138,095
1960	R	−2.3%	64,714	67,720	132,625
1956	R	−10.2%	54,722	67,187	121,909
1952	R	−27.4%	39,115	68,928	108,641
1948	R	−13.7%	31,009	41,278	75,108
1944	R	−7.1%	29,315	33,859	63,864
1940	D	+2.6%	33,694	32,002	66,241
1936	D	+23.4%	30,725	18,219	53,424
1932	D	+7.1%	25,080	21,496	50,262
1928	R	−41.4%	11,544	28,433	40,750
1924	R	−32.8%	8,191	19,712	35,174
1920	R	−27.7%	10,018	18,495	30,588
1916	R	−5.9%	14,764	16,793	34,163
1912	O	+8.4%	5,961	4,469	17,836
1908	R	−22.3%	4,869	8,126	14,575
1904	R	−43.2%	2,763	8,293	12,795
1900	R	−12.2%	4,820	6,222	11,539
1896	D	+5.9%	6,907	6,117	13,293
1892	R	−21.9%	2,138	4,369	10,167
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

17.7%

English

15.1%

Irish

12.7%

Italian

3.9%

American

3.8%

Scottish

3.4%

French

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.0%

85+

1.4%

3.2%

75–84

3.6%

6.6%

65–74

7.3%

6.1%

55–64

6.7%

5.5%

45–54

5.4%

6.0%

35–44

5.9%

6.3%

25–34

5.9%

6.2%

18–24

6.1%

6.7%

5–17

6.3%

2.1%

2.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$69,818

Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 4$69,818

Oregon$83,011

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

15.9%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.5%

Working age (18–64)16.5%

Seniors (65+)10.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

91.4%

speak English only

Spanish4.9%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%

Other Indo-European1.6%

Other languages0.3%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

11.6%

Catholic & Orthodox

6.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.2%

Mainline Protestant

2.0%

Non-Christian

1.1%

Baptist

0.8%

Methodist

0.5%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 74.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Oregon 4th Congressional District in the Pacific Northwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Oregon 4th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Oregon 4th Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by fifteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a 16% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,818 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 4, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4104/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Oregon vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 4, Oregon voted Democratic by 14.7 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 364,791 votes cast, 202,443 went Democratic and 148,827 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 4, Oregon's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Oregon as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 17 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 4, Oregon last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Oregon voted Republican was 1984.

How many people live in Congressional District 4, Oregon?

Congressional District 4, Oregon has a population of 668,861 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Oregon?

Median household income in Congressional District 4, Oregon is $69,818 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.

What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Oregon?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Oregon 4th Congressional District delivered D+15 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions