Congressional District 4 Congressional District (PA) — Elections 1876–2024

Pennsylvania 4th Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+16%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+16MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 831,2012024 5-year
Median household income: $106,2892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 72.3%2024 5-year
Black: 8.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 10.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+49 in 1928MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

6 counties · 4 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+16.2%	275,036	197,569	479,478
2020	D	+19.8%	277,588	185,032	467,725
2016	D	+15.2%	224,194	162,500	405,323
2012	D	+11.4%	209,243	166,059	380,391
2008	D	+18.5%	230,168	157,695	391,494
2004	D	+8.1%	197,954	168,109	367,857
2000	D	+6.2%	157,813	138,905	305,362
1996	D	+5.2%	128,300	114,196	270,923
1992	D	+1.8%	121,371	116,229	293,396
1988	R	−22.2%	99,338	156,789	258,703
1984	R	−29.6%	90,463	166,982	258,857
1980	R	−26.0%	78,361	142,791	248,116
1976	R	−13.4%	105,696	139,038	249,392
1972	R	−29.8%	84,117	157,595	246,438
1968	R	−12.2%	97,644	127,086	240,731
1964	D	+17.9%	132,450	92,179	225,357
1960	R	−19.0%	90,319	132,727	223,450
1956	R	−33.1%	62,147	123,722	186,168
1952	R	−26.7%	62,623	108,424	171,785
1948	R	−22.9%	49,073	78,958	130,779
1944	R	−14.7%	54,413	73,367	129,302
1940	R	−6.7%	59,634	68,284	128,896
1936	D	+5.0%	67,476	60,898	132,031
1932	R	−21.0%	37,302	59,702	106,449
1928	R	−48.9%	25,273	77,252	106,253
1924	R	−44.3%	15,637	45,884	68,307
1920	R	−30.2%	16,980	33,322	54,108
1916	R	−4.6%	18,424	20,328	41,012
1912	O	+19.8%	15,894	7,985	39,849
1908	R	−9.9%	16,306	20,059	38,014
1904	R	−16.1%	14,765	20,685	36,799
1900	R	−6.1%	16,490	18,676	35,874
1896	R	−10.9%	15,189	19,040	35,243
1892	D	+11.1%	18,104	14,438	33,032
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

20.8%

Irish

16.9%

Italian

12.2%

English

8.5%

Polish

5.3%

American

3.9%

Scottish

1.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.9%

85+

1.6%

2.3%

75–84

3.1%

5.0%

65–74

5.6%

6.6%

55–64

7.0%

6.2%

45–54

6.3%

6.6%

35–44

6.6%

6.2%

25–34

6.0%

4.1%

18–24

4.2%

8.3%

5–17

7.8%

2.7%

2.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$106,289

Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 4$106,289

Pennsylvania$77,971

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

7.8%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1810.1%

Working age (18–64)6.9%

Seniors (65+)10.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

83.8%

speak English only

Spanish7.1%

Other Indo-European4.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander3.7%

Other languages1.0%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

28.4%

Mainline Protestant

8.9%

Other Christian

7.1%

Non-Christian

3.9%

Methodist

1.5%

Baptist

1.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.3%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Pennsylvania 4th Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Pennsylvania 4th Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Pennsylvania 4th Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by sixteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a 8% poverty rate, and a median household income of $106,289 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4204/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 16.2 points (D+16), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 479,478 votes cast, 275,036 went Democratic and 197,569 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania?

Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania has a population of 831,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania is $106,289 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Pennsylvania 4th Congressional District delivered D+16 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions