akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Tennessee

Tennessee 4th Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 43 points.

18762024·38 elections
TN
Latest
R+43
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
799,112
2024 ACS

Tennessee 4th Congressional District, Tennessee: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+43%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
799,1122024 5-year
Median household income
$71,6272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.3%2024 5-year
Black
8.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 2024MIT Election Lab
31 counties · 1 D · 30 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−43.5%
93,026239,855337,559
R
−37.7%
98,038220,510324,557
R
−41.2%
70,079175,886257,059
R
−31.6%
80,929157,509242,329
R
−25.5%
93,022157,992255,119
R
−18.5%
94,689138,077234,413
R
−2.3%
92,78397,211193,430
D
+5.4%
82,62873,472170,393
D
+13.7%
87,28863,477173,945
R
−12.0%
57,93773,817132,394
R
−10.7%
59,49973,847134,390
D
+14.0%
73,25954,858131,734
D
+32.6%
78,61539,647119,469
R
−29.9%
29,57356,03988,460
O
−0.0%
27,74427,784102,778
D
+33.9%
61,88430,53292,415
D
+18.7%
48,64133,16482,568
D
+26.9%
48,48627,80377,000
D
+25.7%
47,68328,11076,201
D
+35.4%
35,73515,14558,130
D
+41.6%
38,04115,62753,892
D
+50.2%
38,74612,76951,716
D
+46.5%
36,59313,28450,127
D
+50.9%
30,8869,95241,110
D
+8.7%
20,04716,83136,933
D
+30.7%
20,61310,74332,154
D
+11.3%
27,20521,63549,101
D
+32.2%
24,01512,25136,586
D
+38.3%
22,6078,87235,848
D
+26.2%
21,21112,31633,911
D
+25.9%
20,63711,96433,434
D
+26.8%
22,48012,85435,973
D
+24.2%
27,10316,38244,297
D
+24.9%
20,84811,58337,236
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000
No data
000

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.2%
American
11.8%
Irish
9.3%
German
8.6%
Italian
2.0%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.8%
speak English only
Spanish6.3%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
17.2%
Other Christian
14.0%
Methodist
4.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Tennessee 4th Congressional District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the district voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Tennessee 4th Congressional District as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.

The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Tennessee 4th Congressional District, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-three points in 2024. The 2024 margin was forty-three points.

The political shift has tracked, in Tennessee 4th Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $71,627, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4704/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Tennessee voted Republican by 43.5 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 337,559 votes cast, 93,026 went Democratic and 239,855 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Tennessee as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 4, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Tennessee?
Congressional District 4, Tennessee has a population of 799,112 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Tennessee?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Tennessee is $71,627 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.