Texas 15th Congressional District, Texas: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 990,9842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,0022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 79.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 15, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 122,730 | 170,499 | 295,990 | ||
| R | 142,328 | 145,689 | 291,297 | ||
| D | 125,862 | 94,602 | 229,630 | ||
| D | 107,062 | 81,582 | 190,776 | ||
| D | 102,331 | 78,485 | 182,085 | ||
| R | 74,172 | 86,694 | 161,542 | ||
| D | 72,188 | 65,910 | 140,228 | ||
| D | 69,218 | 42,701 | 118,788 | ||
| D | 64,202 | 41,781 | 124,101 | ||
| D | 68,945 | 48,123 | 117,653 | ||
| R | 56,074 | 56,592 | 112,972 | ||
| D | 48,425 | 42,399 | 92,719 | ||
| D | 52,454 | 29,924 | 82,886 | ||
| R | 28,056 | 38,791 | 67,062 | ||
| D | 32,760 | 22,060 | 60,670 | ||
| D | 38,697 | 16,395 | 55,188 | ||
| D | 31,042 | 21,059 | 52,235 | ||
| R | 17,748 | 22,620 | 40,696 | ||
| R | 19,282 | 25,874 | 45,226 | ||
| D | 19,638 | 10,281 | 30,954 | ||
| D | 14,648 | 8,480 | 24,930 | ||
| D | 16,182 | 8,666 | 24,893 | ||
| D | 15,386 | 4,734 | 20,441 | ||
| D | 18,811 | 3,666 | 22,611 | ||
| D | 8,748 | 7,143 | 15,910 | ||
| D | 8,431 | 3,759 | 14,408 | ||
| D | 4,449 | 4,013 | 9,931 | ||
| D | 4,347 | 2,501 | 7,027 | ||
| D | 4,299 | 1,093 | 6,498 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.1%
English
2.8%
American
2.7%
Irish
2.6%
Polish
0.7%
Italian
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 32.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,002
Congressional District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 15$62,002
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
23.0%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1831.1%
Working age (18–64)19.3%
Seniors (65+)20.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
34.2%
speak English only
Spanish64.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Texas 15th Congressional District sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. Its political identity has been Democratic for as long as anyone now living can remember. 3 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Democratic candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.
The Democratic margin in Texas 15th Congressional District reached its widest at sixty-seven points in 1932. The margin in 2024 was sixteen points — a notable narrowing.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $62,002, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 990,984 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 15, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4815/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 15, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 15, Texas voted Republican by 16.1 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 295,990 votes cast, 122,730 went Democratic and 170,499 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 15, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 15, Texas as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 7 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 15, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 15, Texas voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Congressional District 15, Texas?
Congressional District 15, Texas has a population of 990,984 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 15, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 15, Texas is $62,002 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 15, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 15, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.