akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 31·Texas

Texas 31st Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 14 points.

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
1,013,524
2024 ACS

Texas 31st Congressional District, Texas: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+86 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
1,013,5242024 5-year
Median household income
$91,5382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.7%2024 5-year
Black
12.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
24.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+86 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+44 in 1972MIT Election Lab
19 counties · 1 D · 18 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−14.0%
175,831234,459417,557
R
−9.1%
175,449211,237395,252
R
−18.3%
108,229161,137288,881
R
−25.1%
88,823150,111244,553
R
−17.0%
100,560142,425245,935
R
−34.4%
68,326141,123211,492
R
−37.8%
49,194112,064166,326
R
−15.3%
50,85671,362133,700
R
−10.4%
41,86855,261128,752
R
−19.7%
42,53463,654107,003
R
−40.7%
28,14667,12795,703
R
−12.7%
33,11543,18279,037
D
+10.7%
35,38928,48464,418
R
−44.4%
12,85533,49846,527
D
+21.8%
22,04912,84942,161
D
+58.5%
28,9667,56236,568
D
+27.6%
20,58111,65732,349
D
+20.4%
18,04811,91830,040
D
+15.2%
18,95213,95132,934
D
+66.9%
19,0443,32423,483
D
+62.9%
18,4503,09524,393
D
+67.0%
21,5204,24925,788
D
+83.4%
16,8741,50318,426
D
+85.8%
22,5941,70224,338
D
+3.8%
9,4528,75618,227
D
+68.2%
20,1913,40424,604
D
+47.2%
10,8452,71817,235
D
+72.7%
10,6371,49312,579
D
+77.2%
8,2035829,872
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.0%
English
10.3%
Irish
8.0%
American
5.2%
Italian
2.7%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
78.1%
speak English only
Spanish13.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.9%
Other Indo-European3.2%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.8%
Other Christian
12.1%
Baptist
9.1%
Methodist
3.2%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas 31st Congressional District sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the district voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the long memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Texas 31st Congressional District as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Texas 31st Congressional District, by a thirteen points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-four points in 1972. The 2024 margin was fourteen points.

The political shift has tracked, in Texas 31st Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $91,538, and a 10% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 31, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4831/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 31, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 31, Texas voted Republican by 14.0 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 417,557 votes cast, 175,831 went Democratic and 234,459 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 31, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 31, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 31, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 31, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Congressional District 31, Texas?
Congressional District 31, Texas has a population of 1,013,524 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 31, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 31, Texas is $91,538 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 31, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 31, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.