Texas 38th Congressional District, Texas: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 847,9382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,9832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 34.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 44.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 38, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 141,741 | 126,658 | 272,958 | ||
| D | 160,917 | 122,790 | 287,639 | ||
| D | 124,065 | 95,682 | 229,955 | ||
| D | 102,882 | 102,713 | 208,306 | ||
| D | 103,572 | 100,226 | 205,306 | ||
| R | 83,397 | 102,476 | 187,167 | ||
| R | 73,303 | 92,738 | 170,842 | ||
| R | 67,775 | 73,863 | 149,999 | ||
| R | 63,121 | 71,290 | 165,256 | ||
| R | 60,098 | 81,356 | 142,685 | ||
| R | 58,558 | 93,941 | 152,851 | ||
| R | 48,030 | 73,020 | 126,185 | ||
| R | 56,414 | 62,660 | 120,095 | ||
| R | 37,840 | 64,085 | 102,441 | ||
| R | 31,992 | 35,415 | 82,551 | ||
| D | 39,926 | 27,059 | 67,119 | ||
| R | 25,986 | 29,472 | 57,027 | ||
| R | 16,467 | 27,262 | 44,611 | ||
| R | 18,858 | 25,704 | 44,601 | ||
| D | 10,250 | 7,556 | 21,489 | ||
| D | 12,457 | 2,076 | 18,247 | ||
| D | 12,885 | 3,645 | 16,553 | ||
| D | 10,376 | 1,417 | 11,835 | ||
| D | 8,217 | 1,508 | 9,809 | ||
| R | 3,774 | 4,765 | 8,554 | ||
| D | 3,619 | 1,569 | 5,692 | ||
| D | 2,595 | 1,356 | 5,054 | ||
| D | 1,776 | 527 | 2,392 | ||
| D | 1,123 | 127 | 1,601 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
5.7%
English
5.7%
Irish
4.0%
American
3.2%
Italian
1.8%
French
1.4%
Polish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,983
Congressional District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 38$74,983
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.6%
Working age (18–64)13.6%
Seniors (65+)14.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
55.0%
speak English only
Spanish35.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Texas 38th Congressional District sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. Its political identity has been Republican for as long as anyone now living can remember. 10 consecutive presidential elections in modern records have gone for the Republican candidate, often by margins that would be considered landslide territory anywhere else.
The Republican margin in Texas 38th Congressional District reached its widest at twenty-six points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was six points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $74,983, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 847,938 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 38, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/4838/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 38, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 38, Texas voted Democratic by 5.5 points (D+6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 272,958 votes cast, 141,741 went Democratic and 126,658 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 38, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 38, Texas as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 38, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 38, Texas voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Congressional District 38, Texas?
Congressional District 38, Texas has a population of 847,938 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 38, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 38, Texas is $74,983 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 38, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 38, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.