Congressional District 2 Congressional District (VA) — Elections 1876–2024

Virginia 2nd Congressional District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 873,2602024 5-year
Median household income: $91,4492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 57.8%2024 5-year
Black: 25.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 8.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+67 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

13 counties · 8 D · 5 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+2.6%	226,858	214,971	449,043
2020	D	+5.2%	227,947	204,801	441,662
2016	R	−2.1%	181,428	189,609	393,838
2012	D	+0.3%	190,691	189,541	385,618
2008	D	+1.1%	192,340	187,952	383,896
2004	R	−16.0%	136,670	189,029	327,872
2000	R	−10.7%	119,315	148,588	274,220
1996	R	−3.4%	103,737	111,775	234,634
1992	R	−11.9%	88,557	118,099	247,417
1988	R	−28.9%	71,300	129,986	202,855
1984	R	−34.7%	61,008	126,398	188,522
1980	R	−13.6%	62,538	83,785	156,010
1976	D	+0.8%	64,114	63,024	132,672
1972	R	−45.5%	25,750	70,833	99,034
1968	O	−4.1%	28,567	32,501	95,549
1964	D	+10.2%	24,307	19,797	44,155
1960	D	+18.4%	21,846	15,038	37,097
1956	R	−1.4%	16,116	16,596	33,929
1952	D	+3.3%	14,530	13,607	28,244
1948	D	+30.8%	10,186	4,970	16,929
1944	D	+42.5%	10,146	4,087	14,252
1940	D	+55.4%	9,167	2,623	11,810
1936	D	+62.2%	9,700	2,252	11,980
1932	D	+59.6%	9,470	2,357	11,930
1928	D	+0.8%	5,969	5,869	11,837
1924	D	+62.0%	6,979	1,535	8,783
1920	D	+54.0%	7,876	2,318	10,298
1916	D	+62.9%	6,631	1,481	8,194
1912	D	+67.1%	5,974	875	7,601
1908	D	+48.6%	5,282	1,797	7,164
1904	D	+47.2%	5,304	1,870	7,270
1900	D	+18.3%	10,556	7,277	17,937
1896	D	+10.0%	9,948	8,113	18,405
1892	D	+16.1%	11,294	8,065	20,110
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

11.7%

German

9.7%

Irish

9.5%

American

8.6%

Italian

4.5%

Polish

1.9%

Scottish

1.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.6%

85+

1.0%

2.1%

75–84

2.8%

4.6%

65–74

5.3%

6.2%

55–64

6.8%

5.7%

45–54

6.1%

7.0%

35–44

7.1%

25–34

7.0%

4.2%

18–24

3.8%

8.6%

5–17

8.1%

3.0%

2.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$91,449

Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 2$91,449

Virginia$93,170

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

9.2%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1812.1%

Working age (18–64)8.3%

Seniors (65+)9.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

89.9%

speak English only

Spanish4.2%

Asian & Pacific Islander3.4%

Other Indo-European2.1%

Other languages0.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

14.3%

Catholic & Orthodox

9.2%

Baptist

7.5%

Methodist

5.2%

Mainline Protestant

2.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.6%

Non-Christian

0.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Virginia 2nd Congressional District in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Virginia 2nd Congressional District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $91,449 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 2, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cd/5102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 2, Virginia voted Democratic by 2.6 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 449,043 votes cast, 226,858 went Democratic and 214,971 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 2, Virginia's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Virginia as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 2, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in Congressional District 2, Virginia?

Congressional District 2, Virginia has a population of 873,260 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Virginia?

Median household income in Congressional District 2, Virginia is $91,449 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Virginia 2nd Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions