Baltimore Media Market — Elections 1876–2024

Baltimore, Maryland: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+20%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+20MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 3,045,3282024 5-year
Median household income: $102,3592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 55.1%2024 5-year
Black: 27.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 8.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+81 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

11 counties · 4 D · 7 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+20.2%	891,227	582,994	1,525,739
2020	D	+23.2%	916,480	563,542	1,520,960
2016	D	+15.4%	764,605	551,473	1,381,451
2012	D	+15.9%	781,229	562,277	1,376,628
2008	D	+14.9%	762,482	561,581	1,349,918
2004	D	+4.1%	632,941	582,705	1,231,569
2000	D	+9.8%	554,852	452,598	1,043,283
1996	D	+11.1%	471,134	369,299	917,801
1992	D	+12.0%	510,711	383,606	1,060,988
1988	R	−4.2%	434,978	472,999	914,518
1984	R	−6.3%	425,899	483,169	914,037
1980	D	+9.2%	436,679	357,616	863,542
1976	D	+6.7%	424,162	370,673	794,835
1972	R	−24.9%	273,268	458,463	743,091
1968	D	+4.9%	317,988	283,595	697,165
1964	D	+34.1%	450,436	221,499	671,985
1960	D	+10.4%	362,792	294,144	656,938
1956	R	−21.9%	234,763	366,338	601,101
1952	R	−8.0%	274,024	322,426	602,327
1948	D	+1.5%	201,937	195,706	407,979
1944	D	+8.5%	227,470	191,753	419,223
1940	D	+20.4%	277,409	182,583	464,508
1936	D	+29.6%	285,987	154,681	443,379
1932	D	+29.9%	229,631	121,616	361,017
1928	R	−9.5%	170,135	206,044	378,494
1924	R	−2.6%	98,653	104,968	242,657
1920	R	−14.0%	128,133	171,133	308,061
1916	D	+10.3%	99,661	80,686	184,300
1912	D	+81.2%	167,164	34,474	163,330
1908	—	No data	156,940	82,266	4,065
1904	—	No data	182,363	74,243	3,371
1900	—	No data	85,473	92,948	1,147
1896	R	−14.3%	71,345	96,280	173,974
1892	D	+14.0%	81,286	60,900	146,075
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

13.6%

Irish

11.3%

English

9.5%

Italian

5.5%

American

4.3%

Polish

3.4%

Scottish

1.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 39.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.7%

85+

1.2%

2.1%

75–84

2.9%

4.6%

65–74

5.4%

6.4%

55–64

6.9%

5.9%

45–54

6.3%

6.6%

35–44

7.0%

6.7%

25–34

7.0%

4.3%

18–24

4.2%

8.3%

5–17

8.0%

2.9%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$102,359

Baltimore ranks near the middle of US counties.

Baltimore$102,359

Maryland$103,678

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

9.8%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1812.0%

Working age (18–64)9.0%

Seniors (65+)12.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

85.7%

speak English only

Spanish5.4%

Other Indo-European3.7%

Asian & Pacific Islander3.1%

Other languages2.0%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

12.7%

Other Christian

8.5%

Non-Christian

5.0%

Methodist

4.7%

Mainline Protestant

3.4%

Baptist

3.1%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Baltimore's media market mixes the city's dense Democratic precincts with competitive suburban Baltimore and Harford County corridors, making aggregate vote share a poor guide to the competitive margins that actually shift statewide outcomes.

The Democratic margin in Baltimore has rarely exceeded eighty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-five points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by twenty points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $102,359 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Baltimore, Maryland — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/512/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Baltimore, Maryland vote in 2024?

In 2024, Baltimore, Maryland voted Democratic by 20.2 points (D+20), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,525,739 votes cast, 891,227 went Democratic and 582,994 went Republican.

What is Baltimore, Maryland's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Baltimore, Maryland as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.

When did Baltimore, Maryland last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Baltimore, Maryland voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Baltimore, Maryland?

Baltimore, Maryland has a population of 3,045,328 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Baltimore, Maryland?

Median household income in Baltimore, Maryland is $102,359 — above the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.

What is the political history of Baltimore, Maryland?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baltimore, Maryland from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Baltimore delivered D+20 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions