Indianapolis, Indiana: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+39 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,079,1882024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,9492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 571,595 | 729,622 | 1,330,888 | ||
| R | 602,254 | 744,005 | 1,375,015 | ||
| R | 485,100 | 675,971 | 1,241,472 | ||
| R | 511,633 | 627,086 | 1,164,574 | ||
| D | 608,317 | 590,933 | 1,212,429 | ||
| R | 400,563 | 657,762 | 1,066,895 | ||
| R | 356,448 | 543,061 | 924,529 | ||
| R | 341,413 | 461,857 | 903,845 | ||
| R | 316,574 | 448,345 | 969,285 | ||
| R | 334,581 | 577,987 | 917,150 | ||
| R | 319,776 | 596,026 | 921,370 | ||
| R | 330,681 | 544,708 | 929,775 | ||
| R | 400,505 | 516,060 | 925,025 | ||
| R | 263,813 | 598,671 | 866,634 | ||
| R | 306,033 | 457,133 | 862,055 | ||
| D | 446,271 | 396,856 | 846,859 | ||
| R | 346,325 | 495,461 | 845,001 | ||
| R | 302,462 | 478,020 | 783,528 | ||
| R | 307,652 | 472,371 | 786,407 | ||
| R | 306,563 | 327,377 | 643,902 | ||
| R | 304,979 | 355,568 | 667,229 | ||
| R | 352,260 | 376,898 | 732,944 | ||
| D | 371,195 | 296,068 | 676,058 | ||
| D | 338,893 | 294,361 | 651,067 | ||
| R | 214,798 | 352,741 | 571,910 | ||
| R | 205,723 | 305,168 | 533,772 | ||
| R | 226,193 | 293,175 | 537,679 | ||
| R | 136,518 | 145,516 | 299,965 | ||
| D | 117,611 | 60,928 | 274,574 | ||
| R | 137,910 | 144,573 | 295,978 | ||
| R | 109,848 | 157,209 | 283,971 | ||
| R | 122,054 | 143,005 | 273,677 | ||
| R | 119,049 | 135,366 | 258,185 | ||
| R | 100,310 | 105,777 | 220,670 | ||
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Demographics
The Indianapolis DMA stretches well beyond Marion County into fast-growing exurban counties where college-educated suburbanites have shifted voting patterns measurably over the past three cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide races.
The Democratic margin in Indianapolis peaked at twenty-one points in 1912. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twelve points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $77,949 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Indianapolis, Indiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/527/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.