akashic
1876–2024
Indianapolis·Indiana

Indianapolis was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Anchor market for a competitive suburban collar that decides statewide margins

18762024·38 elections
IN
Latest
R+12
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
3,079,188
2024 ACS

Indianapolis, Indiana: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+12%. Republican peak: R+39 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+12MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
3,079,1882024 5-year
Median household income
$77,9492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
74.5%2024 5-year
Black
11.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+21 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+39 in 1972MIT Election Lab
32 counties · 2 D · 30 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.9%
571,595729,6221,330,888
R
−10.3%
602,254744,0051,375,015
R
−15.4%
485,100675,9711,241,472
R
−9.9%
511,633627,0861,164,574
D
+1.4%
608,317590,9331,212,429
R
−24.1%
400,563657,7621,066,895
R
−20.2%
356,448543,061924,529
R
−13.3%
341,413461,857903,845
R
−13.6%
316,574448,345969,285
R
−26.5%
334,581577,987917,150
R
−30.0%
319,776596,026921,370
R
−23.0%
330,681544,708929,775
R
−12.5%
400,505516,060925,025
R
−38.6%
263,813598,671866,634
R
−17.5%
306,033457,133862,055
D
+5.8%
446,271396,856846,859
R
−17.6%
346,325495,461845,001
R
−22.4%
302,462478,020783,528
R
−20.9%
307,652472,371786,407
R
−3.2%
306,563327,377643,902
R
−7.6%
304,979355,568667,229
R
−3.4%
352,260376,898732,944
D
+11.1%
371,195296,068676,058
D
+6.8%
338,893294,361651,067
R
−24.1%
214,798352,741571,910
R
−18.6%
205,723305,168533,772
R
−12.5%
226,193293,175537,679
R
−3.0%
136,518145,516299,965
D
+20.6%
117,61160,928274,574
R
−2.3%
137,910144,573295,978
R
−16.7%
109,848157,209283,971
R
−7.7%
122,054143,005273,677
R
−6.3%
119,049135,366258,185
R
−2.5%
100,310105,777220,670
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.0%
English
12.0%
Irish
9.6%
American
7.6%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
1.8%
Polish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.0%
speak English only
Spanish5.6%
Other Indo-European2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.9%
Baptist
5.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Methodist
3.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Indianapolis DMA stretches well beyond Marion County into fast-growing exurban counties where college-educated suburbanites have shifted voting patterns measurably over the past three cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide races.

The Democratic margin in Indianapolis peaked at twenty-one points in 1912. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twelve points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $77,949 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Indianapolis, Indiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/527/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Indianapolis, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Indianapolis, Indiana voted Republican by 11.9 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,330,888 votes cast, 571,595 went Democratic and 729,622 went Republican.
What is Indianapolis, Indiana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Indianapolis, Indiana as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did Indianapolis, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Indianapolis, Indiana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Indianapolis, Indiana?
Indianapolis, Indiana has a population of 3,079,188 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Indianapolis, Indiana?
Median household income in Indianapolis, Indiana is $77,949 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Indianapolis, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Indianapolis, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.