Albany-Schenectady-Troy, New York: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+8%. Democratic peak: D+42 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,414,4032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,3812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1956MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 378,345 | 324,624 | 712,129 | ||
| D | 398,159 | 307,431 | 721,528 | ||
| D | 316,859 | 279,674 | 643,074 | ||
| D | 350,357 | 249,216 | 613,125 | ||
| D | 373,465 | 273,038 | 659,295 | ||
| D | 343,228 | 295,475 | 651,764 | ||
| D | 316,170 | 257,979 | 611,257 | ||
| D | 312,709 | 199,383 | 593,947 | ||
| D | 281,225 | 231,363 | 647,988 | ||
| D | 295,567 | 293,472 | 594,265 | ||
| R | 238,798 | 359,157 | 600,410 | ||
| R | 246,194 | 266,816 | 582,914 | ||
| R | 260,657 | 313,717 | 581,860 | ||
| R | 224,508 | 364,919 | 591,296 | ||
| R | 258,463 | 259,230 | 544,673 | ||
| D | 398,505 | 161,375 | 560,629 | ||
| R | 291,210 | 297,718 | 589,475 | ||
| R | 183,158 | 402,198 | 585,617 | ||
| R | 216,139 | 376,358 | 593,837 | ||
| R | 227,090 | 276,796 | 521,660 | ||
| R | 237,685 | 268,987 | 507,995 | ||
| R | 252,696 | 278,861 | 532,912 | ||
| R | 240,761 | 249,046 | 501,067 | ||
| R | 221,695 | 232,731 | 463,439 | ||
| R | 200,879 | 249,042 | 457,215 | ||
| R | 112,125 | 207,674 | 347,227 | ||
| R | 106,185 | 205,797 | 327,211 | ||
| R | 87,045 | 108,882 | 201,885 | ||
| R | 72,337 | 76,589 | 189,552 | ||
| R | 80,801 | 113,019 | 202,824 | ||
| R | 79,093 | 115,520 | 201,746 | ||
| R | 78,008 | 111,694 | 194,706 | ||
| R | 70,584 | 109,463 | 185,267 | ||
| R | 82,335 | 86,984 | 178,594 | ||
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Demographics
Home to New York's state government complex, the Albany-Schenectady-Troy media market carries an unusually high share of public-sector employees, a demographic that has historically produced stable Democratic margins in federal and statewide contests.
The Democratic margin in Albany-Schenectady-Troy has rarely exceeded forty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-seven points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by eight points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $83,381 — all within the broad national range.
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/532/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.