Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws Media Market — Elections 1876–2024

Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+8%. Democratic peak: D+71 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 2,001,4712024 5-year
Median household income: $82,7762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 54.7%2024 5-year
Black: 29.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 7.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+71 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+32 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

28 counties · 13 D · 15 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+8.0%	526,239	447,227	988,848
2020	D	+11.5%	542,508	429,054	990,812
2016	D	+6.6%	452,303	393,610	894,755
2012	D	+10.5%	490,011	395,396	897,852
2008	D	+10.7%	492,551	396,203	896,918
2004	R	−6.4%	348,202	395,931	749,023
2000	R	−2.7%	301,731	318,852	634,215
1996	D	+6.2%	276,831	241,988	562,999
1992	R	−1.0%	251,599	257,463	602,408
1988	R	−16.2%	215,813	299,968	520,227
1984	R	−20.0%	204,809	307,605	515,182
1980	R	−0.5%	204,435	206,768	436,124
1976	D	+10.6%	214,323	172,182	399,263
1972	R	−32.3%	101,480	201,832	311,020
1968	D	+5.2%	122,848	105,289	339,001
1964	D	+23.6%	128,710	79,331	208,936
1960	D	+16.3%	103,955	74,718	179,663
1956	D	+0.4%	75,714	75,069	156,246
1952	D	+10.3%	74,944	60,881	136,171
1948	D	+33.7%	54,678	25,162	87,525
1944	D	+51.9%	61,721	19,516	81,394
1940	D	+65.0%	59,230	12,487	71,899
1936	D	+66.5%	59,674	11,917	71,825
1932	D	+52.1%	50,239	15,529	66,610
1928	R	−0.7%	31,910	32,390	64,300
1924	D	+50.0%	28,162	8,755	38,846
1920	D	+48.2%	34,041	11,763	46,200
1916	D	+59.2%	23,465	5,876	29,705
1912	D	+70.5%	21,918	2,517	27,510
1908	D	+45.5%	19,535	7,262	27,000
1904	D	+52.3%	19,314	5,931	25,592
1900	D	+19.4%	33,280	22,419	56,041
1896	D	+6.0%	29,222	25,853	55,838
1892	D	+10.3%	30,856	24,765	59,130
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

11.5%

German

9.1%

Irish

8.6%

American

8.4%

Italian

3.9%

Scottish

1.6%

Polish

1.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.6%

85+

1.1%

2.2%

75–84

3.0%

4.7%

65–74

5.5%

6.1%

55–64

6.8%

5.4%

45–54

5.8%

6.6%

35–44

6.7%

7.3%

25–34

7.0%

5.0%

18–24

4.5%

8.2%

5–17

7.8%

3.0%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$82,776

Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws ranks near the middle of US counties.

Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws$82,776

Virginia$72,388

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.2%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1815.4%

Working age (18–64)10.0%

Seniors (65+)10.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

90.9%

speak English only

Spanish4.2%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%

Other Indo-European1.9%

Other languages0.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

14.2%

Baptist

10.0%

Catholic & Orthodox

8.3%

Methodist

5.4%

Mainline Protestant

2.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.1%

Non-Christian

1.7%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to the world's largest naval station, the Hampton Roads market blends a uniformed-service electorate with a sizable Black voting population, producing competitive margins in federal and statewide races.

The Democratic margin in Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws has rarely exceeded seventy-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-two points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by eight points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $82,776 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/544/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia voted Democratic by 8.0 points (D+8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 988,848 votes cast, 526,239 went Democratic and 447,227 went Republican.

What is Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 8 times, and other 0 times.

When did Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia?

Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia has a population of 2,001,471 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia?

Median household income in Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia is $82,776 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $72,388.

What is the political history of Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws delivered D+8 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions