West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce, Florida: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,264,2342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,4002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 528,551 | 606,129 | 1,143,683 | ||
| D | 596,836 | 553,052 | 1,157,491 | ||
| D | 504,741 | 453,871 | 982,633 | ||
| D | 477,975 | 402,561 | 886,409 | ||
| D | 496,722 | 370,429 | 872,750 | ||
| D | 439,839 | 345,558 | 790,742 | ||
| D | 362,293 | 255,337 | 632,709 | ||
| D | 308,912 | 217,364 | 579,829 | ||
| D | 242,325 | 211,988 | 580,000 | ||
| R | 186,591 | 274,459 | 463,503 | ||
| R | 149,071 | 272,076 | 421,192 | ||
| R | 121,412 | 200,637 | 343,841 | ||
| R | 129,572 | 132,836 | 267,101 | ||
| R | 52,301 | 148,546 | 201,728 | ||
| R | 44,370 | 82,031 | 159,802 | ||
| R | 61,343 | 68,617 | 129,960 | ||
| R | 41,990 | 60,679 | 102,669 | ||
| R | 20,973 | 48,812 | 69,785 | ||
| R | 20,226 | 39,164 | 59,390 | ||
| R | 13,766 | 14,946 | 34,165 | ||
| D | 16,227 | 9,956 | 26,183 | ||
| D | 17,380 | 9,955 | 27,335 | ||
| D | 14,284 | 6,020 | 20,304 | ||
| D | 12,271 | 5,311 | 17,582 | ||
| R | 4,811 | 8,488 | 13,695 | ||
| D | 2,447 | 2,307 | 5,431 | ||
| D | 2,892 | 2,657 | 6,247 | ||
| D | 1,428 | 445 | 2,423 | ||
| D | 810 | 76 | 1,231 | ||
| D | 280 | 63 | 434 | ||
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Demographics
This South Florida market blends the affluent retirement communities of Palm Beach County with the heavily Hispanic farmworker populations of the Treasure Coast, producing a demographic mix that routinely complicates straight-line polling models.
The Democratic margin in West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce peaked at sixty points in 1912. By 2024 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $80,400 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/548/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.