Syracuse, New York: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+8%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 915,2152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,1142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Syracuse, NYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 235,570 | 198,410 | 438,711 | ||
| D | 242,203 | 192,112 | 444,377 | ||
| D | 197,979 | 172,164 | 396,758 | ||
| D | 221,467 | 151,578 | 381,234 | ||
| D | 236,023 | 166,863 | 410,625 | ||
| D | 216,047 | 188,199 | 413,077 | ||
| D | 200,140 | 166,736 | 389,590 | ||
| D | 185,068 | 137,489 | 370,022 | ||
| D | 167,644 | 144,264 | 408,028 | ||
| R | 174,233 | 194,365 | 371,774 | ||
| R | 147,242 | 233,723 | 382,398 | ||
| R | 131,503 | 181,524 | 353,920 | ||
| R | 140,099 | 209,216 | 351,454 | ||
| R | 112,569 | 250,172 | 363,592 | ||
| R | 141,228 | 176,571 | 336,440 | ||
| D | 227,924 | 115,623 | 343,834 | ||
| R | 152,343 | 205,972 | 358,546 | ||
| R | 86,608 | 256,438 | 343,046 | ||
| R | 107,206 | 231,956 | 339,833 | ||
| R | 114,601 | 167,313 | 291,200 | ||
| R | 122,490 | 162,968 | 286,318 | ||
| R | 117,694 | 184,960 | 303,789 | ||
| R | 107,946 | 170,826 | 284,273 | ||
| R | 110,795 | 142,442 | 260,722 | ||
| R | 95,998 | 167,004 | 267,695 | ||
| R | 56,410 | 157,193 | 233,480 | ||
| R | 50,544 | 126,615 | 186,669 | ||
| R | 45,423 | 63,945 | 115,010 | ||
| R | 37,066 | 39,008 | 107,340 | ||
| R | 41,727 | 68,011 | 116,411 | ||
| R | 39,619 | 70,403 | 114,855 | ||
| R | 41,392 | 67,070 | 113,080 | ||
| R | 38,815 | 68,189 | 110,402 | ||
| R | 41,192 | 55,857 | 103,762 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
17.3%
German
14.5%
English
13.3%
Italian
13.2%
Polish
5.2%
American
4.4%
French
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,114
Syracuse ranks near the middle of US counties.
Syracuse$74,114
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.5%
Working age (18–64)13.0%
Seniors (65+)10.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.4%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.3%
Spanish2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Syracuse media market spans a swath of central New York where presidential margins have tightened cycle over cycle, blending a mid-size Democratic-leaning urban core with rural and small-city counties that have shifted sharply toward Republicans since 2008.
The Democratic margin in Syracuse has rarely exceeded thirty-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by eight points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $74,114 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Syracuse, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/555/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Syracuse, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Syracuse, New York voted Democratic by 8.5 points (D+8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 438,711 votes cast, 235,570 went Democratic and 198,410 went Republican.
What is Syracuse, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Syracuse, New York as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Syracuse, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Syracuse, New York voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Syracuse, New York?
Syracuse, New York has a population of 915,215 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Syracuse, New York?
Median household income in Syracuse, New York is $74,114 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Syracuse, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Syracuse, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.