akashic
1876–2024
Houston·Texas

Houston delivered R+9 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A Sun Belt colossus reshaped by three decades of migration

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
7,791,979
2024 ACS

Houston, Texas: Tossup market. In 2024, voted R+9%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
7,791,9792024 5-year
Median household income
$82,7672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
41.1%2024 5-year
Black
17.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
37.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+76 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+27 in 1972MIT Election Lab
20 counties · 2 D · 18 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−9.3%
1,248,7511,509,9082,804,980
R
−1.6%
1,368,1691,414,6302,821,753
R
−3.7%
1,022,9641,105,1172,222,385
R
−13.5%
846,3771,114,4271,986,124
R
−9.6%
864,3541,049,4611,928,341
R
−18.6%
703,5081,027,8801,742,632
R
−18.1%
610,006888,1631,537,057
R
−7.3%
565,955662,4281,312,887
R
−6.1%
524,798610,8781,419,521
R
−14.8%
507,666685,6141,204,311
R
−24.8%
470,237781,8811,255,489
R
−18.2%
397,703582,8421,019,410
R
−1.7%
460,982476,965946,053
R
−26.8%
285,368495,167784,161
R
−0.8%
260,166265,170657,584
D
+23.6%
331,463204,529537,161
R
−1.2%
223,462229,126463,079
R
−21.7%
143,298224,216373,631
R
−11.5%
169,541213,726383,726
D
+19.3%
99,17561,899193,057
D
+57.4%
117,59319,451171,018
D
+57.2%
124,06633,693157,969
D
+75.7%
98,95413,493112,887
D
+73.7%
94,52614,027109,275
D
+3.5%
46,60043,45490,192
D
+46.3%
54,67418,38278,461
D
+21.1%
29,24116,19761,934
D
+44.9%
27,6989,98539,422
D
+56.4%
21,2333,82030,853
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
7.2%
English
6.8%
Irish
5.0%
American
3.7%
Italian
2.0%
French
1.6%
Polish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
60.9%
speak English only
Spanish29.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.9%
Other Indo-European3.5%
Other languages1.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.6%
Baptist
13.0%
Other Christian
12.7%
Methodist
3.7%
Non-Christian
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Houston media market anchors the country's most ethnically diverse major metro, where Latino, Asian-American, and Black voters together outnumber non-Hispanic white voters — a demographic tilt that has steadily compressed Republican margins in Harris County since 2016.

The market's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventy-six points in 1936; the Republican margin reached twenty-seven points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 7,791,979, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $82,767 — situate the market close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Houston, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/618/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Houston, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Houston, Texas voted Republican by 9.3 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,804,980 votes cast, 1,248,751 went Democratic and 1,509,908 went Republican.
What is Houston, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Houston, Texas as a "Tossup" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Houston, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Houston, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Houston, Texas?
Houston, Texas has a population of 7,791,979 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Houston, Texas?
Median household income in Houston, Texas is $82,767 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Houston, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Houston, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.