San Antonio, Texas: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted R+9%. Democratic peak: D+70 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,980,6162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,1992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 55.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for San Antonio, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 530,491 | 639,150 | 1,185,291 | ||
| R | 571,782 | 576,636 | 1,167,125 | ||
| R | 412,999 | 442,885 | 902,683 | ||
| R | 351,192 | 424,359 | 787,212 | ||
| R | 369,811 | 415,876 | 791,869 | ||
| R | 283,670 | 429,218 | 718,028 | ||
| R | 253,245 | 353,354 | 623,149 | ||
| R | 249,870 | 254,999 | 539,171 | ||
| R | 236,750 | 247,890 | 596,306 | ||
| R | 244,355 | 286,818 | 535,048 | ||
| R | 189,717 | 304,830 | 495,462 | ||
| R | 192,680 | 237,726 | 444,352 | ||
| D | 206,805 | 174,040 | 385,575 | ||
| R | 121,028 | 203,536 | 326,099 | ||
| D | 132,006 | 108,427 | 269,667 | ||
| D | 161,566 | 79,909 | 241,962 | ||
| D | 112,059 | 97,734 | 210,905 | ||
| R | 71,594 | 105,267 | 177,765 | ||
| R | 79,434 | 111,144 | 191,170 | ||
| D | 65,915 | 44,582 | 117,527 | ||
| D | 63,669 | 43,023 | 112,533 | ||
| D | 70,304 | 35,862 | 106,447 | ||
| D | 68,131 | 22,714 | 91,310 | ||
| D | 79,278 | 13,935 | 93,725 | ||
| D | 35,733 | 34,817 | 70,639 | ||
| D | 35,178 | 21,039 | 67,939 | ||
| R | 18,194 | 19,727 | 45,939 | ||
| D | 21,358 | 14,624 | 36,963 | ||
| D | 17,510 | 5,120 | 29,341 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.9%
English
6.8%
Irish
5.7%
American
3.7%
Italian
2.0%
Polish
1.3%
French
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$75,199
San Antonio ranks near the middle of US counties.
San Antonio$75,199
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.9%
Working age (18–64)12.4%
Seniors (65+)13.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.3%
speak English only
Spanish31.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The San Antonio media market anchors South Texas, where Hispanic voters make up the largest share of the electorate and shifts in their turnout patterns have repeatedly reshaped statewide margin calculations.
The Democratic margin in San Antonio has rarely exceeded seventy points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-five points. 2024 delivered the market to the Republican candidate by nine points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 47% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $75,199 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Antonio, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/641/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did San Antonio, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Antonio, Texas voted Republican by 9.2 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,185,291 votes cast, 530,491 went Democratic and 639,150 went Republican.
What is San Antonio, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies San Antonio, Texas as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did San Antonio, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which San Antonio, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in San Antonio, Texas?
San Antonio, Texas has a population of 2,980,616 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Antonio, Texas?
Median household income in San Antonio, Texas is $75,199 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of San Antonio, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in San Antonio, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.