akashic
1876–2024
Lubbock·Texas

For fifty-two years, Lubbock voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A West Texas anchor where cotton-belt conservatism runs deep

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+47
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
473,739
2024 ACS

Lubbock, Texas: Realigner market. In 2024, voted R+47%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1916.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+47MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
473,7392024 5-year
Median household income
$62,7882024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
61.5%2024 5-year
Black
6.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
41.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+84 in 1916MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 2004MIT Election Lab
18 counties · 0 D · 18 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−47.3%
45,357128,374175,494
R
−40.9%
49,628120,141172,273
R
−44.1%
37,147101,196145,215
R
−44.6%
37,08698,273137,319
R
−40.6%
43,600103,893148,597
R
−54.2%
32,992111,820145,537
R
−49.3%
30,76792,509125,227
R
−28.1%
40,46475,351123,945
R
−28.4%
39,54678,961138,621
R
−29.8%
44,90083,277128,722
R
−44.7%
36,90097,052134,448
R
−34.0%
40,47683,895127,697
R
−5.8%
57,32064,393122,460
R
−47.4%
28,50280,565109,799
R
−11.5%
36,26048,540106,702
D
+25.2%
59,78935,66495,581
R
−1.8%
42,33343,92586,905
D
+9.6%
40,37033,31573,840
R
−5.9%
37,33741,98679,470
D
+65.6%
40,6597,13251,102
D
+61.9%
33,1265,61244,473
D
+72.4%
37,3215,93443,345
D
+81.3%
28,8402,91731,900
D
+83.8%
27,4102,31329,932
R
−31.3%
8,47616,22224,728
D
+63.5%
16,9323,48621,183
D
+61.7%
6,9261,4308,909
D
+83.9%
5,0852795,725
D
+72.8%
2,8771303,773
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.4%
English
8.9%
Irish
6.2%
American
5.5%
Scottish
1.6%
Italian
1.0%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.7%
speak English only
Spanish21.9%
Other Indo-European2.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
17.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
16.0%
Other Christian
14.0%
Methodist
4.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Lubbock media market spans the South Plains and caprock country, where Republican margins routinely exceed 40 points and the regional economy ties voting patterns tightly to agriculture and the energy sector.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Lubbock peaked at eighty-four points in 1916; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1968 election delivered the market to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twelve points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $62,788 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lubbock, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/651/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Lubbock, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lubbock, Texas voted Republican by 47.3 points (R+47), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 175,494 votes cast, 45,357 went Democratic and 128,374 went Republican.
What is Lubbock, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lubbock, Texas as a "Realigner" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lubbock, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lubbock, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lubbock, Texas?
Lubbock, Texas has a population of 473,739 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lubbock, Texas?
Median household income in Lubbock, Texas is $62,788 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Lubbock, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lubbock, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.