akashic
1876–2024
Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt)·Alabama

Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt) voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 35 points.

Gulf Coast market where military installations shape the electorate

18762024·38 elections
AL
Latest
R+35
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
1,519,166
2024 ACS

Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+35%. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+35MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
1,519,1662024 5-year
Median household income
$70,8152024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.3%2024 5-year
Black
20.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+78 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+59 in 1972MIT Election Lab
11 counties · 0 D · 11 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−34.7%
238,504496,087742,900
R
−29.4%
258,159477,784747,358
R
−33.0%
211,463430,706663,807
R
−30.1%
221,151414,203641,498
R
−27.6%
232,470411,993649,866
R
−36.7%
181,079393,558579,322
R
−30.0%
163,863308,744483,248
R
−20.9%
154,243245,564437,304
R
−19.5%
140,365226,738443,422
R
−35.0%
119,586250,185372,905
R
−39.9%
112,432263,520379,060
R
−21.8%
128,971203,787343,952
R
−3.7%
143,011154,339302,111
R
−58.8%
49,945197,460251,044
O
+4.3%
48,76037,905253,316
R
−47.5%
37,047130,104195,737
D
+17.6%
88,07661,311151,970
D
+14.2%
64,84748,403116,109
D
+23.3%
62,09938,612100,909
O
+19.1%
18,9358,12956,455
D
+65.2%
43,3489,04652,581
D
+76.8%
50,9166,52057,800
D
+78.5%
40,5844,76245,654
D
+73.8%
33,5344,95938,725
R
−3.4%
18,34919,63638,108
D
+47.2%
14,2254,47920,632
D
+50.5%
18,4975,74725,259
D
+68.6%
12,7592,13415,483
D
+77.4%
10,02347312,344
D
+58.9%
9,0641,83012,273
D
+72.2%
9,4891,38911,220
D
+30.8%
10,2675,20016,434
D
+30.3%
11,6495,93518,871
D
+60.4%
14,9021,28222,566
D
+17.9%
9,3936,54015,943
D
+8.3%
10,6258,98519,653
D
+15.8%
9,3176,73016,354
D
+19.9%
11,5637,73119,294

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.0%
Irish
9.9%
German
9.7%
American
9.1%
Italian
3.1%
French
2.2%
Scottish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.1%
speak English only
Spanish3.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
20.5%
Other Christian
15.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.3%
Methodist
6.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning the Alabama-Florida panhandle, this media market clusters around Pensacola NAS, Eglin AFB, and Hurlburt Field, giving active-duty and veteran households an outsized share of the vote relative to comparable coastal metros.

The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), by a forty-eight points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-nine points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points.

The political shift has tracked, in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), the political shift of the South more broadly. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,815, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/686/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama voted Republican by 34.7 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 742,900 votes cast, 238,504 went Democratic and 496,087 went Republican.
What is Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 16 times, and other 2 times.
When did Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama?
Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama has a population of 1,519,166 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama?
Median household income in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama is $70,815 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.