Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+35%. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,519,1662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,8152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 238,504 | 496,087 | 742,900 | ||
| R | 258,159 | 477,784 | 747,358 | ||
| R | 211,463 | 430,706 | 663,807 | ||
| R | 221,151 | 414,203 | 641,498 | ||
| R | 232,470 | 411,993 | 649,866 | ||
| R | 181,079 | 393,558 | 579,322 | ||
| R | 163,863 | 308,744 | 483,248 | ||
| R | 154,243 | 245,564 | 437,304 | ||
| R | 140,365 | 226,738 | 443,422 | ||
| R | 119,586 | 250,185 | 372,905 | ||
| R | 112,432 | 263,520 | 379,060 | ||
| R | 128,971 | 203,787 | 343,952 | ||
| R | 143,011 | 154,339 | 302,111 | ||
| R | 49,945 | 197,460 | 251,044 | ||
| O | 48,760 | 37,905 | 253,316 | ||
| R | 37,047 | 130,104 | 195,737 | ||
| D | 88,076 | 61,311 | 151,970 | ||
| D | 64,847 | 48,403 | 116,109 | ||
| D | 62,099 | 38,612 | 100,909 | ||
| O | 18,935 | 8,129 | 56,455 | ||
| D | 43,348 | 9,046 | 52,581 | ||
| D | 50,916 | 6,520 | 57,800 | ||
| D | 40,584 | 4,762 | 45,654 | ||
| D | 33,534 | 4,959 | 38,725 | ||
| R | 18,349 | 19,636 | 38,108 | ||
| D | 14,225 | 4,479 | 20,632 | ||
| D | 18,497 | 5,747 | 25,259 | ||
| D | 12,759 | 2,134 | 15,483 | ||
| D | 10,023 | 473 | 12,344 | ||
| D | 9,064 | 1,830 | 12,273 | ||
| D | 9,489 | 1,389 | 11,220 | ||
| D | 10,267 | 5,200 | 16,434 | ||
| D | 11,649 | 5,935 | 18,871 | ||
| D | 14,902 | 1,282 | 22,566 | ||
| D | 9,393 | 6,540 | 15,943 | ||
| D | 10,625 | 8,985 | 19,653 | ||
| D | 9,317 | 6,730 | 16,354 | ||
| D | 11,563 | 7,731 | 19,294 |
Demographics
Spanning the Alabama-Florida panhandle, this media market clusters around Pensacola NAS, Eglin AFB, and Hurlburt Field, giving active-duty and veteran households an outsized share of the vote relative to comparable coastal metros.
The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), by a forty-eight points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-nine points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points.
The political shift has tracked, in Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), the political shift of the South more broadly. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,815, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Mobile-Pensacola (Ft. Walt), Alabama — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/686/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.