Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+26%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,466,3312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,3722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Little Rock-Pine Bluff, AROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 209,050 | 361,915 | 583,796 | ||
| R | 228,004 | 368,844 | 613,448 | ||
| R | 208,729 | 333,975 | 556,748 | ||
| R | 216,394 | 322,273 | 552,140 | ||
| R | 229,821 | 321,184 | 564,172 | ||
| R | 254,948 | 284,479 | 545,256 | ||
| R | 226,088 | 234,615 | 474,048 | ||
| D | 259,603 | 160,565 | 461,307 | ||
| D | 274,674 | 167,693 | 490,784 | ||
| R | 192,435 | 237,815 | 436,454 | ||
| R | 190,670 | 268,270 | 465,396 | ||
| D | 220,975 | 187,222 | 427,078 | ||
| D | 274,577 | 120,166 | 395,256 | ||
| R | 112,479 | 214,976 | 328,870 | ||
| O | 99,585 | 88,336 | 313,635 | ||
| D | 168,345 | 126,397 | 296,530 | ||
| D | 115,757 | 80,872 | 216,500 | ||
| D | 108,986 | 92,534 | 204,753 | ||
| D | 115,991 | 82,379 | 199,152 | ||
| D | 76,029 | 23,040 | 119,508 | ||
| D | 73,566 | 28,363 | 102,151 | ||
| D | 76,277 | 17,589 | 94,324 | ||
| D | 70,767 | 12,894 | 83,904 | ||
| D | 91,257 | 11,578 | 103,603 | ||
| D | 58,205 | 35,474 | 93,983 | ||
| D | 38,571 | 17,790 | 62,013 | ||
| D | 49,795 | 34,725 | 86,854 | ||
| D | 55,339 | 23,467 | 78,806 | ||
| D | 32,968 | 12,188 | 59,664 | ||
| D | 40,606 | 27,658 | 72,176 | ||
| D | 29,900 | 22,675 | 55,160 | ||
| D | 36,625 | 21,600 | 59,333 | ||
| D | 52,835 | 18,334 | 72,023 | ||
| D | 42,113 | 22,592 | 72,592 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.7%
Irish
8.7%
German
8.4%
American
7.5%
Scottish
1.7%
Italian
1.3%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,372
Little Rock-Pine Bluff ranks near the middle of US counties.
Little Rock-Pine Bluff$60,372
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.5%
Working age (18–64)14.8%
Seniors (65+)11.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.6%
speak English only
Spanish4.8%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Spanning the capital corridor and the majority-Black Delta counties around Pine Bluff, this market blends competitive state-level races with some of Arkansas's most economically distressed and reliably Democratic precincts.
The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Little Rock-Pine Bluff, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-one points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-six points.
The political shift has tracked, in Little Rock-Pine Bluff, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $60,372, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/693/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas voted Republican by 26.2 points (R+26), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 583,796 votes cast, 209,050 went Democratic and 361,915 went Republican.
What is Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas?
Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas has a population of 1,466,331 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas?
Median household income in Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas is $60,372 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Little Rock-Pine Bluff, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.