Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+36%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 300,0242024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,4272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 30.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78 in 1964MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 39,749 | 85,918 | 127,100 | ||
| R | 46,142 | 88,456 | 136,520 | ||
| R | 40,762 | 81,779 | 125,018 | ||
| R | 47,020 | 84,445 | 132,755 | ||
| R | 44,349 | 82,258 | 127,734 | ||
| R | 37,158 | 78,060 | 115,909 | ||
| R | 33,798 | 64,348 | 99,583 | ||
| R | 32,691 | 49,161 | 88,023 | ||
| R | 34,618 | 53,017 | 97,536 | ||
| R | 31,101 | 62,029 | 93,646 | ||
| R | 29,361 | 64,579 | 94,480 | ||
| R | 39,982 | 48,520 | 89,719 | ||
| R | 37,687 | 40,720 | 80,051 | ||
| R | 10,907 | 57,510 | 69,841 | ||
| O | 10,362 | 9,137 | 65,418 | ||
| R | 5,131 | 41,596 | 46,727 | ||
| O | 11,882 | 8,972 | 32,748 | ||
| D | 15,035 | 7,152 | 26,751 | ||
| D | 18,470 | 13,639 | 32,109 | ||
| O | 1,781 | 516 | 22,504 | ||
| D | 17,452 | 1,104 | 18,556 | ||
| D | 16,171 | 697 | 16,878 | ||
| D | 16,896 | 680 | 17,648 | ||
| D | 13,770 | 578 | 14,603 | ||
| D | 9,027 | 5,567 | 14,594 | ||
| D | 9,400 | 873 | 11,036 | ||
| D | 5,531 | 1,430 | 7,399 | ||
| D | 7,404 | 570 | 8,475 | ||
| D | 5,037 | 117 | 6,084 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 3,139 | 888 | 4,156 | ||
| D | 4,449 | 415 | 4,958 | ||
| D | 2,158 | 29 | 2,575 | ||
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Demographics
Hattiesburg anchors this south-Mississippi market with Camp Shelby nearby and the University of Southern Mississippi inside city limits, creating a demographic mix that makes precinct-level targeting unusually consequential for statewide campaigns.
The shift began with civil rights. The realignment unfolded over the late twentieth century. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-eight points in 1964. The 2024 margin was thirty-six points.
The political shift has tracked, in Hattiesburg-Laurel, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $54,427, and a 19% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/710/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.