akashic
1876–2024
Hattiesburg-Laurel·Mississippi

Hattiesburg-Laurel voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 36 points.

Pine Belt crossroads where military households and university precincts pull in opposite directions

18762024·38 elections
MS
Latest
R+36
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
300,024
2024 ACS

Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+36%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+36MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
300,0242024 5-year
Median household income
$54,4272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.4%2024 5-year
Black
30.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+92 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+78 in 1964MIT Election Lab
8 counties · 0 D · 8 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−36.3%
39,74985,918127,100
R
−31.0%
46,14288,456136,520
R
−32.8%
40,76281,779125,018
R
−28.2%
47,02084,445132,755
R
−29.7%
44,34982,258127,734
R
−35.3%
37,15878,060115,909
R
−30.7%
33,79864,34899,583
R
−18.7%
32,69149,16188,023
R
−18.9%
34,61853,01797,536
R
−33.0%
31,10162,02993,646
R
−37.3%
29,36164,57994,480
R
−9.5%
39,98248,52089,719
R
−3.8%
37,68740,72080,051
R
−66.7%
10,90757,51069,841
O
+1.9%
10,3629,13765,418
R
−78.0%
5,13141,59646,727
O
+8.9%
11,8828,97232,748
D
+29.5%
15,0357,15226,751
D
+15.0%
18,47013,63932,109
O
+5.6%
1,78151622,504
D
+88.1%
17,4521,10418,556
D
+91.7%
16,17169716,878
D
+91.9%
16,89668017,648
D
+90.3%
13,77057814,603
D
+23.7%
9,0275,56714,594
D
+77.3%
9,40087311,036
D
+55.4%
5,5311,4307,399
D
+80.6%
7,4045708,475
D
+80.9%
5,0371176,084
No data
No data
D
+54.2%
3,1398884,156
D
+81.4%
4,4494154,958
D
+82.7%
2,158292,575
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
15.4%
English
10.1%
Irish
7.4%
German
5.4%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.8%
Italian
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.3%
speak English only
Spanish2.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
41.1%
Other Christian
10.2%
Methodist
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 36.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Hattiesburg anchors this south-Mississippi market with Camp Shelby nearby and the University of Southern Mississippi inside city limits, creating a demographic mix that makes precinct-level targeting unusually consequential for statewide campaigns.

The shift began with civil rights. The realignment unfolded over the late twentieth century. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-eight points in 1964. The 2024 margin was thirty-six points.

The political shift has tracked, in Hattiesburg-Laurel, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $54,427, and a 19% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/710/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi voted Republican by 36.3 points (R+36), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 127,100 votes cast, 39,749 went Democratic and 85,918 went Republican.
What is Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 15 times, and other 3 times.
When did Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1956.
How many people live in Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi?
Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi has a population of 300,024 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi?
Median household income in Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi is $54,427 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hattiesburg-Laurel, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.