akashic
1876–2024
Baton Rouge·Louisiana

Baton Rouge voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 16 points.

A majority-minority market where city-parish returns routinely split from surrounding exurbs

18762024·38 elections
LA
Latest
R+16
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
943,868
2024 ACS

Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Old Confederacy market. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+75 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+16MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
943,8682024 5-year
Median household income
$68,9982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
54.1%2024 5-year
Black
34.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+75 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1972MIT Election Lab
13 counties · 3 D · 10 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−15.6%
174,549240,642422,492
R
−12.5%
191,803247,614447,603
R
−13.6%
172,096228,799416,269
R
−12.2%
178,859229,382414,812
R
−13.5%
171,888226,512403,937
R
−14.8%
155,467209,905368,866
R
−7.8%
149,548175,383332,784
D
+10.1%
169,388135,958331,265
D
+1.5%
144,960139,960325,158
R
−8.3%
131,052155,261290,447
R
−16.7%
125,225175,757303,376
D
+3.3%
132,589123,817264,725
D
+11.1%
112,02889,216206,129
R
−30.5%
50,19098,867159,591
O
+9.9%
50,74934,323166,066
D
+4.9%
65,22759,137124,364
D
+27.6%
56,39026,799107,403
R
−7.2%
34,35339,90877,668
D
+13.0%
46,21135,57281,783
O
+19.2%
16,3987,74644,980
D
+69.0%
33,5316,15939,690
D
+73.9%
34,8135,22540,038
D
+71.9%
26,5864,32930,934
D
+74.6%
21,4013,09424,539
D
+44.0%
16,9026,56923,471
D
+46.7%
8,4773,04511,630
D
+35.9%
7,7623,65711,427
D
+67.4%
7,2199419,317
D
+68.6%
5,8576127,642
D
+74.6%
5,9388246,856
D
+75.2%
5,3917606,161
D
+48.2%
7,0312,4439,523
D
+35.7%
9,6784,50314,484
D
+60.4%
14,4683,49118,159
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
French
9.6%
English
7.6%
American
6.8%
German
6.4%
Irish
6.3%
Italian
4.6%
Scottish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.4%
speak English only
Spanish4.4%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.0%
Baptist
14.0%
Other Christian
13.5%
Methodist
4.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Baton Rouge DMA spans East Baton Rouge Parish's urban Democratic lean alongside heavily Republican rural parishes to the north and west, producing some of Louisiana's sharpest intra-market margin swings.

The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Baton Rouge, by a eight points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-one points in 1972. The 2024 margin was sixteen points.

The political shift has tracked, in Baton Rouge, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 54% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $68,998, and a 17% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Baton Rouge, Louisiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/716/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Baton Rouge, Louisiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Baton Rouge, Louisiana voted Republican by 15.6 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 422,492 votes cast, 174,549 went Democratic and 240,642 went Republican.
What is Baton Rouge, Louisiana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Baton Rouge, Louisiana as a "Old Confederacy" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 11 times, and other 2 times.
When did Baton Rouge, Louisiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Baton Rouge, Louisiana voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Baton Rouge, Louisiana?
Baton Rouge, Louisiana has a population of 943,868 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baton Rouge, Louisiana?
Median household income in Baton Rouge, Louisiana is $68,998 — below the national median of $80,734. The Louisiana state median is $60,756.
What is the political history of Baton Rouge, Louisiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baton Rouge, Louisiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.