Mankato, Minnesota: Populist market. In 2024, voted R+13%. Republican peak: R+65 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 161,0672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,7562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36,469 | 47,762 | 86,186 | ||
| R | 37,997 | 45,884 | 86,021 | ||
| R | 30,624 | 42,642 | 80,998 | ||
| R | 39,994 | 40,242 | 82,672 | ||
| D | 41,996 | 38,785 | 82,947 | ||
| R | 37,924 | 42,102 | 81,268 | ||
| R | 30,444 | 35,781 | 71,068 | ||
| D | 31,308 | 26,019 | 67,270 | ||
| D | 27,983 | 25,603 | 73,694 | ||
| R | 31,736 | 34,280 | 66,650 | ||
| R | 29,233 | 41,003 | 70,696 | ||
| R | 27,988 | 37,139 | 72,763 | ||
| R | 33,348 | 35,383 | 71,122 | ||
| R | 25,710 | 38,252 | 65,429 | ||
| R | 25,055 | 31,842 | 59,527 | ||
| D | 31,067 | 26,817 | 58,041 | ||
| R | 23,972 | 36,347 | 60,408 | ||
| R | 16,345 | 36,800 | 53,228 | ||
| R | 15,090 | 39,754 | 55,015 | ||
| D | 24,793 | 23,407 | 48,757 | ||
| R | 17,028 | 29,120 | 46,379 | ||
| R | 19,463 | 31,736 | 51,431 | ||
| D | 29,188 | 15,609 | 47,636 | ||
| D | 26,127 | 14,717 | 41,668 | ||
| R | 17,218 | 23,775 | 41,244 | ||
| R | 2,710 | 18,081 | 36,225 | ||
| R | 5,194 | 27,502 | 34,288 | ||
| R | 6,683 | 9,271 | 16,855 | ||
| O | 6,072 | 3,173 | 16,266 | ||
| R | 6,150 | 9,540 | 16,830 | ||
| R | 3,764 | 10,945 | 15,483 | ||
| R | 6,325 | 10,354 | 17,521 | ||
| R | 6,963 | 11,026 | 18,605 | ||
| D | 6,981 | 5,559 | 14,503 | ||
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Demographics
The Mankato media market spans the agriculturally dominant Minnesota River valley while absorbing a measurable student and university-staff population from Minnesota State Mankato, producing a suburban-rural mix that shifts competitive margins in statewide races.
The Democratic margin in Mankato peaked at twenty-nine points in 1936. By 2012 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $72,756 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Mankato, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/737/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.