akashic
1876–2024
Albuquerque-Santa Fe·New Mexico

Albuquerque-Santa Fe delivered D+8 in 2024.

High-altitude corridor where Native and Hispanic turnout reshape statewide margins

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NM
Latest
D+8
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,964,921
2024 ACS

Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+8%. Democratic peak: D+93 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
1,964,9212024 5-year
Median household income
$66,2282024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
48.6%2024 5-year
Black
2.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
43.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+93 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+32 in 1892MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
31 counties · 14 D · 17 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+7.6%
470,724402,370893,692
D
+12.3%
495,672384,973900,388
D
+9.2%
377,956306,626774,746
D
+11.5%
407,770320,179759,817
D
+16.4%
459,236328,275798,048
D
+1.4%
364,658354,697727,642
D
+1.3%
279,160271,628578,063
D
+8.5%
263,648218,642532,204
D
+10.3%
252,976196,970541,989
R
−3.6%
232,942250,662489,806
R
−18.9%
194,213285,927485,383
R
−18.4%
157,446236,654431,504
R
−1.8%
190,346197,502392,352
R
−23.0%
133,181215,632357,883
R
−11.3%
121,424155,532301,094
D
+19.8%
180,550120,632302,829
D
+1.9%
145,352140,033286,615
R
−17.1%
97,088137,216235,242
R
−11.8%
96,398122,174219,367
D
+9.4%
92,51876,472170,240
D
+4.7%
72,44165,911138,491
D
+9.2%
91,80676,379168,411
D
+22.1%
93,11859,171153,525
D
+22.7%
83,42352,202137,435
R
−19.1%
43,94964,760108,916
R
−7.9%
43,19151,381103,409
R
−12.7%
40,73352,73594,430
D
+4.4%
31,34728,63361,350
D
+6.0%
19,20616,45846,013
D
+21.5%
2,9521,8215,249
R
−5.5%
2,0212,2714,565
D
+38.9%
2,5761,1203,739
D
+93.1%
3,5741243,705
O
−32.2%
06852,126
R
−4.5%
7748491,661
R
−6.6%
6297221,415
D
+14.2%
345259604
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.1%
English
8.9%
Irish
7.2%
American
3.8%
Italian
2.5%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.2%
2.7%
75–84
3.1%
5.6%
65–74
6.2%
6.2%
55–64
6.6%
5.7%
45–54
5.7%
6.6%
35–44
6.3%
6.7%
25–34
6.3%
4.5%
18–24
4.1%
8.3%
5–17
8.0%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,228
Albuquerque-Santa Fe ranks near the middle of US counties.
Albuquerque-Santa Fe$66,228
New Mexico$64,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.3%
Working age (18–64)16.1%
Seniors (65+)14.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
70.3%
speak English only
Spanish20.9%
Other languages6.6%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
30.0%
Other Christian
11.3%
Baptist
3.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Non-Christian
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Methodist
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching from Bernalillo County's urban core to Santa Fe's state-government workforce, this market contains some of the nation's highest concentrations of Native American and Hispanic voters, making mobilization patterns here a consistent bellwether for New Mexico outcomes.

The Democratic margin in Albuquerque-Santa Fe has rarely exceeded ninety-three points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-two points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by eight points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 49% non-Hispanic-white share, a 18% poverty rate, and a median household income of $66,228 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/790/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico voted Democratic by 7.6 points (D+8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 893,692 votes cast, 470,724 went Democratic and 402,370 went Republican.
What is Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 14 times, and other 1 times.
When did Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico?
Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico has a population of 1,964,921 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico?
Median household income in Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico is $66,228 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Albuquerque-Santa Fe, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.