Eugene, Oregon: Bellwether market. In 2024, voted D+11%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 657,4092024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,7742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Eugene, OROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 189,778 | 152,244 | 355,056 | ||
| D | 203,596 | 160,341 | 376,476 | ||
| D | 156,490 | 133,033 | 325,537 | ||
| D | 160,418 | 122,949 | 295,141 | ||
| D | 178,637 | 125,372 | 313,276 | ||
| D | 166,766 | 147,714 | 319,953 | ||
| D | 123,830 | 123,323 | 267,013 | ||
| D | 114,093 | 93,444 | 244,694 | ||
| D | 118,258 | 81,634 | 265,304 | ||
| D | 118,064 | 91,840 | 214,563 | ||
| R | 108,263 | 118,209 | 227,249 | ||
| R | 89,771 | 105,874 | 227,803 | ||
| D | 97,499 | 87,781 | 195,372 | ||
| R | 77,806 | 88,896 | 175,364 | ||
| R | 61,129 | 72,857 | 146,547 | ||
| D | 90,774 | 46,227 | 137,552 | ||
| R | 64,202 | 67,126 | 131,507 | ||
| R | 54,756 | 67,318 | 122,074 | ||
| R | 38,881 | 69,153 | 108,579 | ||
| R | 29,694 | 40,889 | 73,212 | ||
| R | 28,244 | 33,675 | 62,603 | ||
| D | 31,788 | 31,463 | 63,727 | ||
| D | 29,533 | 18,529 | 52,378 | ||
| D | 24,336 | 21,960 | 49,920 | ||
| R | 10,856 | 28,790 | 40,380 | ||
| R | 8,257 | 20,092 | 35,825 | ||
| R | 10,430 | 19,140 | 31,630 | ||
| R | 15,399 | 17,286 | 35,251 | ||
| O | 6,264 | 4,669 | 18,643 | ||
| R | 5,200 | 8,438 | 15,283 | ||
| R | 3,006 | 8,763 | 13,614 | ||
| R | 5,313 | 6,515 | 12,350 | ||
| D | 7,203 | 6,311 | 13,772 | ||
| R | 2,345 | 4,931 | 11,482 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.6%
English
15.2%
Irish
12.6%
American
4.1%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
3.4%
French
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,774
Eugene ranks near the middle of US counties.
Eugene$69,774
Oregon$83,011
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.3%
Working age (18–64)16.5%
Seniors (65+)10.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.7%
speak English only
Spanish4.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 74.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Eugene's media market is anchored by the University of Oregon, producing a younger, more educated voter base than most mid-size Western metros. Lane County routinely posts double-digit Democratic margins in statewide races, with turnout spiking in presidential cycles.
The Democratic margin in Eugene has rarely exceeded thirty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-four points. 2024 delivered the market to the Democratic candidate by eleven points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most markets. A 82% non-Hispanic-white share, a 16% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,774 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Eugene, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/801/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Eugene, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Eugene, Oregon voted Democratic by 10.6 points (D+11), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 355,056 votes cast, 189,778 went Democratic and 152,244 went Republican.
What is Eugene, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Eugene, Oregon as a "Bellwether" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 17 times, and other 1 times.
When did Eugene, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Eugene, Oregon voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Eugene, Oregon?
Eugene, Oregon has a population of 657,409 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Eugene, Oregon?
Median household income in Eugene, Oregon is $69,774 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Eugene, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Eugene, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.