San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California: Urban anchor market. In 2024, voted D+48%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+48MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Urban anchorAkashic typology
- Population
- 7,325,3812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $139,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 38.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, CAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 2,308,786 | 780,757 | 3,210,005 | ||
| D | 2,743,430 | 769,302 | 3,592,237 | ||
| D | 2,270,699 | 564,402 | 3,057,148 | ||
| D | 2,045,198 | 663,422 | 2,794,922 | ||
| D | 2,163,130 | 697,030 | 2,924,210 | ||
| D | 1,879,156 | 776,972 | 2,697,018 | ||
| D | 1,559,930 | 721,199 | 2,430,342 | ||
| D | 1,378,251 | 638,744 | 2,279,637 | ||
| D | 1,441,543 | 633,955 | 2,555,342 | ||
| D | 1,311,169 | 917,833 | 2,260,152 | ||
| D | 1,138,928 | 1,065,680 | 2,233,955 | ||
| R | 813,119 | 884,547 | 1,998,235 | ||
| D | 933,400 | 862,030 | 1,877,648 | ||
| R | 979,944 | 993,906 | 2,028,581 | ||
| D | 875,091 | 720,390 | 1,730,689 | ||
| D | 1,097,834 | 574,203 | 1,674,450 | ||
| D | 806,256 | 746,445 | 1,558,141 | ||
| R | 602,189 | 742,697 | 1,349,227 | ||
| R | 568,436 | 715,695 | 1,295,021 | ||
| R | 491,997 | 508,542 | 1,058,481 | ||
| D | 549,870 | 400,379 | 954,712 | ||
| D | 477,329 | 365,953 | 853,453 | ||
| D | 480,924 | 224,376 | 714,107 | ||
| D | 354,614 | 234,985 | 613,757 | ||
| R | 214,592 | 306,173 | 526,923 | ||
| R | 26,369 | 215,371 | 394,563 | ||
| R | 75,593 | 230,729 | 344,545 | ||
| D | 166,524 | 164,300 | 352,519 | ||
| O | 104,716 | 0 | 240,196 | ||
| R | 42,986 | 82,650 | 140,881 | ||
| R | 34,440 | 85,572 | 134,337 | ||
| R | 47,419 | 71,304 | 123,810 | ||
| R | 55,517 | 64,398 | 122,461 | ||
| D | 53,200 | 48,759 | 110,753 | ||
| R | 49,086 | 50,078 | 102,526 | ||
| R | 38,286 | 46,659 | 86,798 | ||
| D | 36,177 | 35,825 | 73,109 | ||
| R | 34,818 | 37,045 | 71,887 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
7.1%
English
6.9%
Irish
6.7%
Italian
4.3%
American
2.0%
French
1.6%
Polish
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$139,731
San Francisco-Oak-San Jose ranks near the middle of US counties.
San Francisco-Oak-San Jose$139,731
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 188.6%
Working age (18–64)8.2%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
55.8%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander18.2%
Spanish17.0%
Other Indo-European7.6%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Bay Area DMA anchors one of the nation's most lopsided presidential margins, routinely delivering 80-plus-point Democratic advantages, yet its sheer ad-buy cost makes it a rare target for competitive spending.
The Democratic margin in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose has been steady. It reached its modern peak at fifty-six points in 2016; the 2024 margin was forty-eight points, still in line with the market's long pattern.
Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $139,731, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/807/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California voted Democratic by 47.6 points (D+48), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,210,005 votes cast, 2,308,786 went Democratic and 780,757 went Republican.
What is San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California as a "Urban anchor" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California?
San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California has a population of 7,325,381 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California?
Median household income in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California is $139,731 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in San Francisco-Oak-San Jose, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Urban anchor" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.