akashic
1876–2024
Bend, OR·Oregon

Bend, OR was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Fast-growing high desert city reshaping Central Oregon's electoral math

18762024·38 elections
OR
Latest
D+10
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
206,334
2024 ACS

Bend, OR, Oregon: Populist market. In 2024, voted D+10%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
206,3342024 5-year
Median household income
$92,7582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.3%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+30 in 1924MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+10.4%
68,10854,850127,375
D
+8.2%
65,96255,646125,234
R
−3.3%
42,44445,69298,557
R
−6.7%
36,96142,46381,900
R
−0.3%
38,81939,06479,782
R
−14.3%
31,17941,75774,048
R
−17.4%
22,06132,13257,885
R
−8.8%
17,15121,13545,282
D
+0.1%
15,69315,65543,918
R
−6.9%
14,26416,42531,366
R
−24.6%
11,67119,32331,066
R
−19.3%
9,64115,18628,715
D
+2.2%
9,4809,05419,382
R
−9.6%
6,3197,74714,819
R
−6.6%
4,8595,59911,230
D
+37.6%
6,9473,14810,095
R
−3.7%
4,7765,1459,944
R
−13.7%
4,1025,3999,501
R
−29.0%
3,1745,7768,986
D
+0.5%
3,4993,4637,163
D
+19.6%
3,8072,5476,426
D
+29.1%
4,7752,6037,453
D
+50.6%
4,2781,2995,884
D
+25.0%
2,9621,6975,055
R
−24.0%
1,7022,8154,628
R
−29.8%
1,0152,3214,378
R
−19.0%
1,0721,6493,040
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.1%
English
18.0%
Irish
14.2%
Italian
4.3%
American
3.6%
Scottish
3.3%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.6%
speak English only
Spanish5.5%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
18.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Baptist
0.4%
Methodist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bend's rapid in-migration has made Deschutes County a competitive pivot point in statewide races, shifting a once reliably Republican media market toward split-ticket patterns that neither party can take for granted.

The Democratic margin in Bend, OR peaked at fifty-one points in 1936. By 2020 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was ten points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the market's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $92,758 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bend, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/821/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Bend, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bend, OR, Oregon voted Democratic by 10.4 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 127,375 votes cast, 68,108 went Democratic and 54,850 went Republican.
What is Bend, OR, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Bend, OR, Oregon as a "Populist" market based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the market has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Bend, OR, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bend, OR, Oregon voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Bend, OR, Oregon has a population of 206,334 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon is $92,758 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Bend, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bend, OR, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The market's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.