Bend, OR, Oregon: Populist market. In 2024, voted D+10%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 206,3342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,7582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 68,108 | 54,850 | 127,375 | ||
| D | 65,962 | 55,646 | 125,234 | ||
| R | 42,444 | 45,692 | 98,557 | ||
| R | 36,961 | 42,463 | 81,900 | ||
| R | 38,819 | 39,064 | 79,782 | ||
| R | 31,179 | 41,757 | 74,048 | ||
| R | 22,061 | 32,132 | 57,885 | ||
| R | 17,151 | 21,135 | 45,282 | ||
| D | 15,693 | 15,655 | 43,918 | ||
| R | 14,264 | 16,425 | 31,366 | ||
| R | 11,671 | 19,323 | 31,066 | ||
| R | 9,641 | 15,186 | 28,715 | ||
| D | 9,480 | 9,054 | 19,382 | ||
| R | 6,319 | 7,747 | 14,819 | ||
| R | 4,859 | 5,599 | 11,230 | ||
| D | 6,947 | 3,148 | 10,095 | ||
| R | 4,776 | 5,145 | 9,944 | ||
| R | 4,102 | 5,399 | 9,501 | ||
| R | 3,174 | 5,776 | 8,986 | ||
| D | 3,499 | 3,463 | 7,163 | ||
| D | 3,807 | 2,547 | 6,426 | ||
| D | 4,775 | 2,603 | 7,453 | ||
| D | 4,278 | 1,299 | 5,884 | ||
| D | 2,962 | 1,697 | 5,055 | ||
| R | 1,702 | 2,815 | 4,628 | ||
| R | 1,015 | 2,321 | 4,378 | ||
| R | 1,072 | 1,649 | 3,040 | ||
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Demographics
Bend's rapid in-migration has made Deschutes County a competitive pivot point in statewide races, shifting a once reliably Republican media market toward split-ticket patterns that neither party can take for granted.
The Democratic margin in Bend, OR peaked at fifty-one points in 1936. By 2020 the market had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was ten points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the market's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $92,758 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Bend, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/dma/821/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.