akashic
1876–2024
State House District 15·Connecticut

Connecticut 15th State House District has voted Democratic in ten straight presidential cycles.

One of Connecticut's most Republican-leaning state house seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
CT
Latest
D+20
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
33,414
2024 ACS

Connecticut 15th State House District, Connecticut: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+20%. Democratic peak: D+45 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+20MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
33,4142024 5-year
Median household income
$93,1552024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
63.8%2024 5-year
Black
12.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
17.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+45 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+19.8%
9,5926,37716,250
D
+24.8%
10,3776,20216,854
D
+19.5%
8,8355,83815,404
D
+23.5%
9,0045,54414,724
D
+29.4%
9,9475,37915,523
D
+17.5%
8,5295,94914,743
D
+23.6%
8,0754,85313,675
D
+24.4%
7,3984,17213,195
D
+14.1%
7,0494,88915,279
D
+5.4%
7,1656,41913,721
R
−12.6%
5,9627,68613,705
D
+2.0%
5,7815,50813,375
D
+3.4%
6,7716,32413,172
R
−6.6%
6,1287,00013,258
D
+15.7%
6,5914,72211,926
D
+44.9%
8,2953,15011,466
D
+15.8%
6,6424,83111,473
R
−17.4%
4,2926,10510,396
R
−2.9%
4,9265,21710,171
D
+6.9%
4,2013,6448,021
D
+13.0%
4,2863,2987,625
D
+11.8%
3,8743,0526,941
D
+20.1%
3,4992,2866,032
R
−0.7%
2,4622,4985,142
R
−8.0%
2,2322,6244,898
R
−33.5%
9702,1203,428
R
−27.5%
1,0401,8913,089
D
+0.6%
8448341,754
R
−0.5%
5986061,542
R
−28.0%
4778851,457
R
−19.6%
5708621,491
R
−21.2%
5248151,375
R
−22.5%
6981,1251,894
—
No data
———
R
−2.2%
5615871,181
R
−0.5%
5215261,047
R
−4.5%
4945411,035
D
+2.7%
509482991

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
13.1%
Italian
12.9%
English
8.3%
Polish
8.1%
German
7.3%
French
4.9%
American
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.6%
2.3%
75–84
3.0%
4.8%
65–74
5.5%
6.6%
55–64
7.0%
5.9%
45–54
6.2%
6.5%
35–44
6.5%
6.7%
25–34
6.4%
5.1%
18–24
5.0%
7.7%
5–17
7.4%
2.6%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$93,155
State House District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 15$93,155
Connecticut$95,781
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.1%
Working age (18–64)9.5%
Seniors (65+)9.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.9%
speak English only
Spanish12.2%
Other Indo-European7.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.0%
Other languages1.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
47.9%
Other Christian
9.4%
Mainline Protestant
7.4%
Non-Christian
5.4%
Baptist
4.6%
Methodist
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 20.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Despite Connecticut's statewide Democratic tilt, this district delivered a double-digit Republican presidential margin in 2024, signaling a voter base that consistently diverges from the state's overall direction.

The Democratic margin in Connecticut 15th State House District reached its widest at forty-five points in 1964. The margin in 2024 was twenty points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $93,155, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 33,414 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 15, Connecticut vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15, Connecticut voted Democratic by 19.8 points (D+20), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 16,250 votes cast, 9,592 went Democratic and 6,377 went Republican.
What is State House District 15, Connecticut's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15, Connecticut as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 15, Connecticut last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15, Connecticut voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in State House District 15, Connecticut?
State House District 15, Connecticut has a population of 33,414 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15, Connecticut?
Median household income in State House District 15, Connecticut is $93,155 — above the national median of $80,734. The Connecticut state median is $95,781.
What is the political history of State House District 15, Connecticut?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15, Connecticut from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.