Arizona 13th State Senate District, Arizona: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+11 in 2012.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 237,8662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,3002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+11 in 2008MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 51,124 | 54,855 | 107,545 | ||
| D | 54,294 | 51,940 | 107,957 | ||
| R | 36,668 | 38,987 | 81,788 | ||
| R | 31,419 | 39,119 | 72,040 | ||
| R | 31,413 | 38,940 | 71,540 |
Demographics
Arizona Senate District 13 sits in the competitive suburban belt around Phoenix, where a 3.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 signals a district that has tightened considerably as the metro area's demographics and migration patterns continue to shift.
The Democratic margin in Arizona 13th State Senate District has rarely exceeded two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded eleven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $89,300 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 13, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/04013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.