akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 13·Arizona

Arizona 13th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

A suburban Phoenix seat decided by single digits in 2024

20082024·5 elections
AZ
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
237,866
2024 ACS

Arizona 13th State Senate District, Arizona: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+11 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
237,8662024 5-year
Median household income
$89,3002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.6%2024 5-year
Black
5.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+11 in 2008MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.5%
51,12454,855107,545
D
+2.2%
54,29451,940107,957
R
−2.8%
36,66838,98781,788
R
−10.7%
31,41939,11972,040
R
−10.5%
31,41338,94071,540

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.4%
English
9.8%
Irish
8.8%
Italian
4.4%
American
4.2%
Polish
2.2%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.0%
speak English only
Spanish19.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.7%
Other Indo-European2.4%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.4%
Other Christian
15.1%
Non-Christian
3.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Baptist
1.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arizona Senate District 13 sits in the competitive suburban belt around Phoenix, where a 3.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 signals a district that has tightened considerably as the metro area's demographics and migration patterns continue to shift.

The Democratic margin in Arizona 13th State Senate District has rarely exceeded two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded eleven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $89,300 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 13, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/04013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 13, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 13, Arizona voted Republican by 3.5 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 107,545 votes cast, 51,124 went Democratic and 54,855 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 13, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 13, Arizona as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 13, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 13, Arizona voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 13, Arizona?
State Senate District 13, Arizona has a population of 237,866 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 13, Arizona?
Median household income in State Senate District 13, Arizona is $89,300 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of State Senate District 13, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 13, Arizona from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.