Arizona 16th State Senate District, Arizona: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+16 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 236,9402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,9182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 30.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 16, AZOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44,544 | 61,587 | 107,521 | ||
| R | 42,658 | 52,921 | 97,076 | ||
| R | 28,232 | 36,909 | 69,946 | ||
| R | 25,864 | 32,613 | 59,706 | ||
| R | 26,007 | 31,739 | 58,697 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.8%
English
9.9%
Irish
9.3%
Italian
3.9%
American
3.6%
Polish
1.9%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$78,918
State Senate District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 16$78,918
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.5%
Working age (18–64)11.0%
Seniors (65+)9.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
80.2%
speak English only
Spanish16.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carried Republican by double digits in recent cycles, this district blends outer-ring Phoenix suburbs with rural stretches, producing a consistent conservative lean that has made it a low-volatility seat in statewide targeting maps.
The Republican margin in Arizona 16th State Senate District reached its widest at sixteen points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was sixteen points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $78,918, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 236,940 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 16, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/04016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 16, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 16, Arizona voted Republican by 15.9 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 107,521 votes cast, 44,544 went Democratic and 61,587 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 16, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Arizona as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 16, Arizona?
State Senate District 16, Arizona has a population of 236,940 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Arizona?
Median household income in State Senate District 16, Arizona is $78,918 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Arizona from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.