Arizona 23rd State Senate District, Arizona: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+8 in 2008.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 232,2452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,9272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 49.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 41,675 | 47,721 | 90,610 | ||
| D | 46,176 | 44,170 | 91,837 | ||
| D | 33,572 | 32,300 | 70,664 | ||
| R | 27,372 | 31,573 | 60,039 | ||
| R | 27,858 | 32,530 | 61,339 |
Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+18.6, this Maricopa County-area district sits well outside Arizona's statewide competitiveness, reflecting a densely populated urban or inner-suburban electorate that has moved decisively in one direction over recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Arizona 23rd State Senate District has rarely exceeded two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,927 — all within the broad national range.
State Senate District 23, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/04023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.