akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 25·Arizona

Arizona 25th State Senate District delivered R+8 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Arizona's most reliably Republican legislative districts

20082024·5 elections
AZ
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
243,005
2024 ACS

Arizona 25th State Senate District, Arizona: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Republican peak: R+11 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
243,0052024 5-year
Median household income
$80,4222024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
51.5%2024 5-year
Black
4.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
42.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+11 in 2008MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−8.0%
45,02352,92299,304
R
−0.1%
49,25049,321100,197
R
−2.4%
34,36236,15175,922
R
−11.2%
28,27735,54165,092
R
−11.4%
28,46535,89265,408

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
10.4%
English
8.5%
Irish
7.2%
American
3.8%
Italian
3.4%
Polish
1.7%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
64.1%
speak English only
Spanish30.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.6%
Other Christian
13.2%
Non-Christian
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Baptist
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in rural and exurban terrain west and south of the Phoenix metro, this district delivered a 33.9-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it among the most one-sided state senate seats in Arizona.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. the Republican margin reached eleven points in 2008. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 243,005, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $80,422 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 25, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/sld-upper/04025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 25, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 25, Arizona voted Republican by 8.0 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 99,304 votes cast, 45,023 went Democratic and 52,922 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 25, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 25, Arizona as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in State Senate District 25, Arizona?
State Senate District 25, Arizona has a population of 243,005 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 25, Arizona?
Median household income in State Senate District 25, Arizona is $80,422 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of State Senate District 25, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in State Senate District 25, Arizona from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.